Marcellin College Randwick (Bm78)

With the rail out +11m from the 1000m to the winning post, the track will play significantly different. This positioning often favours horses on-pace who can kick for home at the top of the straight, as it can be difficult for backmarkers to sweep around the field, covering excess ground on the turn. The better going is typically found in the centre of the track in the straight, meaning horses will fan out, and those saving ground on the inside may not be on the most advantageous ground.

A Soft (6) rating ensures the ground will be testing and stamina will be a key factor. Horses with proven form on soft or heavy tracks hold a distinct advantage. The genuine pace combined with the soft surface will make this a true test at 1300m, potentially favouring strong finishers over pure speed horses. The inside ground may chop out, pushing jockeys to search for lanes wider out in the straight, which could negate the advantage of an inside draw slightly.

The 1300m start at Randwick provides a run of approximately 400m to the first turn. This is a fair starting point that gives runners a chance to find their position. However, a genuine tempo will make it difficult for those drawn wide to cross without doing significant work. The long, uphill Randwick straight is always a test of stamina, especially on rain-affected ground, meaning horses that have over-exerted early will be found wanting late.

As a Benchmark 78 Handicap, this is a competitive race with seasoned gallopers. The form is generally reliable, and the speed map is less likely to be upset by inexperienced runners. The handicap conditions mean the top weights are giving starts to progressive horses, which should ensure a competitive finish. The race dynamics are well-suited for horses who are race-fit and proven under these weight and class conditions.