Pakenham SyntheticRace 71600m

Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm64)

Race 7 Speedmap - Pakenham Synthetic

Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 7 at Pakenham Synthetic

🏁Race Details

🏆
Race
Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm64)
🏅
Class
2yo+ Benchmark 64;
⏱️
Distance
1600m
🏟️
Track
Pakenham Synthetic

🏁Speed Map Visualisation

Predicted race positioning and tactical setup

Start
Finish (1600m)
LEADERS
6
Call Up King
7
Pro Aussie
Expected to set the pace
ON-PACE
3
Eagle Angel
4
Austrata
8
Socially Sassy
10
Tight Grip
Handy position, tactical flexibility
MIDFIELD
2
Super Solar
5
Roadie
9
Savvyrocker
Mid-pack, cover required
BACKMARKERS
1
Tahlequah
11
Blooming Edge
Back of field, need tempo

⏱️Pace Analysis

GENUINE.
Race tempo prediction based on field analysis

The presence of a dedicated leader in Pro Aussie, combined with likely forward intent from Call Up King from a wider gate, should ensure an honest tempo. There are enough on-pace runners drawn to settle handy that the lead won't be gifted, preventing a sit-and-sprint scenario.

🏃‍♂️Likely Positions In-Running

🥇Leaders

#7 Pro Aussie is the most likely to lead from the good draw. #6 Call Up King will be forced to press forward from barrier 10 and will likely settle outside the lead or in a prominent stalking position.

🏃On-Pace/Handy

#4 Austrata should use the inside barrier to hold a handy spot, aiming for the box seat. #3 Eagle Angel, #8 Socially Sassy, and #10 Tight Grip are all drawn to find excellent positions just behind the leaders, one off the fence with cover.

🏃‍♂️Midfield

#2 Super Solar is a consistent midfield runner and will likely settle there again from barrier 7. #5 Roadie and #9 Savvyrocker will be forced to settle mid-pack from their wider draws, potentially facing wide runs. #1 Tahlequah has little choice but to be ridden quietly from the outside gate and find a spot in the second half of the field.

🐌Backmarkers

#11 Blooming Edge is a noted get-back runner with a history of starting slowly and will be settled at or near the rear of the field.

🛤️Rail Position Impact

With the rail in the True position, the track should play fairly. Inside barriers offer the shortest route home, which is a distinct advantage for a horse like #4 Austrata if it can hold its position. There is no expected bias associated with this rail position on the synthetic surface, allowing jockeys to find the best ground based on race tempo rather than track wear.

🌦️Track Condition & Weather

The Pakenham Synthetic track ensures a consistent and true racing surface, removing variables like wet ground or track degradation. This surface rewards horses with proven form on it and those who can maintain a strong gallop. The pace of the race is less likely to be affected by the ground itself, meaning it will be a true test of speed and stamina over the mile. Backmarkers will not be aided by a deteriorating, heavy track that might tire out leaders.

📏Track & Distance Factors

The 1600m start at Pakenham provides a fair run of approximately 400m to the first turn. This gives horses with speed drawn wide, like #6 Call Up King, an opportunity to cross over and find a position without being posted deep for the entire circuit. The long, sweeping home straight offers every horse its chance, but on the synthetic surface, it can be difficult to make up significant ground from the rear if the on-pace runners get a comfortable mid-race sectional.

🏁Race Conditions Impact

As a Benchmark 64 handicap, the field is comprised of evenly matched runners. The weights are compressed, meaning small tactical advantages gained from the speed map can be decisive. The race features several runners with strong course-and-distance form on the synthetic surface, which is a crucial factor. The competitive nature of a BM64 often ensures a genuinely run race as jockeys vie for advantageous positions.

🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis

The map points towards a genuinely run mile, with #7 Pro Aussie setting the terms and #6 Call Up King ensuring the pressure remains honest. This setup should give most runners their opportunity. The key will be which horse gets the most economical run. On-pace runners drawn inside appear to hold a tactical advantage, as they can save ground while sitting just off a solid tempo. Midfield runners will need to secure cover and not get shuffled too far back, while the lone backmarker will be hoping the on-pace pressure is strong enough to cause the leaders to tire late.

Most Advantaged

#7 Pro Aussie looks to get a map that perfectly suits its racing style. From an ideal draw, it can lead and control the race on a surface it has performed well on previously. If allowed to dictate, it will be very difficult to run down in the straight.

Most Disadvantaged

#1 Tahlequah faces a significant task. The combination of top weight (60.0kg), the widest barrier (14), and a poor first-up performance suggests it will be forced to cover extra ground from the rear of the field, making it extremely difficult to feature in the finish. #9 Savvyrocker is in a similar predicament from barrier 13.

💰Betting Considerations

The analysis strongly suggests focusing on horses with proven synthetic form that have drawn to receive favourable runs on or near the speed.

  • Primary Focus: #7 Pro Aussie is the clear standout from a tactical perspective. Any betting strategy should likely be built around its chances.
  • Value Opportunities: #8 Socially Sassy and #10 Tight Grip map to get ideal runs just behind the speed and could offer value. They are well-drawn, have consistent form, and can pounce if the leaders overdo it.
  • Risks: Horses drawn wide without compelling tactical speed, like #1 Tahlequah and #9 Savvyrocker, appear to be significant risks and would need both luck and a fast pace to overcome their map disadvantages. #4 Austrata is a wildcard; it could get the perfect run but is equally at risk of being buried on the fence with no room to move in the straight.

Important: A Note on AI Analysis

Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.

Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.

🐎Individual Runner Analysis

Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning

1

Tahlequah

Horse #1
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
2

Super Solar

Horse #2
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
3

Eagle Angel

Horse #3
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
4

Austrata

Horse #4
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
5

Roadie

Horse #5
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
6

Call Up King

Horse #6
LEADER/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Leader/On-Pace
7

Pro Aussie

Horse #7
LEADER
Predicted Position: Leader
8

Socially Sassy

Horse #8
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
9

Savvyrocker

Horse #9
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
10

Tight Grip

Horse #10
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
11

Blooming Edge

Horse #11
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker

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