RockhamptonRace 31050m

CQ Fasteners & Construction Supplies (Bm60)

Race 3 Speedmap - Rockhampton

Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 3 at Rockhampton

🏁Race Details

🏆
Race
CQ Fasteners & Construction Supplies (Bm60)
🏅
Class
Benchmark 60;
⏱️
Distance
1050m
🏟️
Track
Rockhampton

🏁Speed Map Visualisation

Predicted race positioning and tactical setup

Start
Finish (1050m)
LEADERS
3
Rideau
6
Brave Cowboy Bill
Expected to set the pace
ON-PACE
1
Devil Devil
2
Pretty Slick
Handy position, tactical flexibility
MIDFIELD
4
Thunder Mania
5
Uncut Gem
9
Bull Dimple Rum
Mid-pack, cover required

⏱️Pace Analysis

GENUINE TO STRONG.
Race tempo prediction based on field analysis

The pace map points towards a solid tempo due to multiple speed influences. #3 Rideau is a natural leader dropping back from 1400m, which should see it jump with intent from a low draw. The main pressure will come from #6 Brave Cowboy Bill, who has shown good early speed in recent wins and is drawn wide in gate 8, forcing the jockey to push forward to avoid being caught deep.

🏃‍♂️Likely Positions In-Running

🥇Leaders

#3 Rideau is the most likely to find the front from barrier 3. #6 Brave Cowboy Bill will be forced to work across from barrier 8 and will likely settle outside the lead, ensuring consistent pressure.

🏃On-Pace/Handy

#2 Pretty Slick is mapped to get the perfect run in the box seat, sitting third on the rail directly behind the speed battle. #1 Devil Devil will attempt to slot in from the wide gate (9), but faces a significant risk of being caught three-wide without cover.

🏃‍♂️Midfield

#5 Uncut Gem (4) and #4 Thunder Mania (5) are drawn to find economical runs in the middle of the pack, likely one or two pairs back from the leaders. #9 Bull Dimple Rum is an unknown factor, but from barrier 1 will likely settle midfield on the rail if it begins on terms with the field.

🐌Backmarkers

This race lacks a designated backmarker. Most runners possess some degree of tactical speed, suggesting the field will be relatively compact.

🛤️Rail Position Impact

With the rail out at +7m for the entire circuit, the track's circumference is reduced, and the home straight is effectively shorter. This generally favours on-pace runners who can kick clear at the top of the straight, as it gives backmarkers less time to make up ground. It places a premium on saving ground around the home turn, further advantaging horses drawn inside barriers like #2 Pretty Slick and #3 Rideau.

🌦️Track Condition & Weather

The Soft 6 rating will bring stamina into play, especially over this short but high-pressure distance. Horses that have a proven ability to handle rain-affected ground will be at a distinct advantage. The conditions may make the leaders vulnerable in the final 100m if they have over-exerted themselves early. #1 Devil Devil is a proven performer on wet tracks, with wins on both Soft 6 and Heavy 9 surfaces, making the conditions a major positive for it, provided the tactical disadvantages can be overcome.

📏Track & Distance Factors

The 1050m start at Rockhampton is notoriously tricky, with a short run into a sharp turn. This configuration provides a significant advantage to horses drawn in low barriers who can hold a position, as it allows them to save crucial ground. Conversely, horses drawn wide are at a major disadvantage, as they have very little time to cross the field before the turn and risk being posted wide for the entire race. The strong tempo predicted will make this even more pronounced.

🏁Race Conditions Impact

As a BM60 Handicap, the field is evenly matched, but weight can be a deciding factor, especially on a soft track. The top weight, #1 Devil Devil (62.0kg), faces a significant task conceding weight to its rivals, particularly from a wide barrier. The lightly-weighted unknown, #9 Bull Dimple Rum (51.0kg), would be a major threat if it possesses any ability, as it gets a massive weight advantage over the field.

🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis

The race is set up for a high-pressure sprint. The combination of a natural leader in #3 Rideau, an outside speed influence in #6 Brave Cowboy Bill, and the tricky 1050m start at Rockhampton with the rail at +7m creates a clear tactical picture. The race will be won or lost based on barrier draws and the ability to find an economical run into the straight. The pace will be genuine, favouring horses who can sit just off the speed and conserve energy.

Most Advantaged

#2 Pretty Slick (2) The map could not be more perfect. From barrier 2, Ashley Butler can elect to sit in the box seat, directly behind the speed duel between #3 Rideau and #6 Brave Cowboy Bill. This allows her to save ground on the turn and be presented with a run in the straight with a full tank of energy while the leaders may be tiring on the soft ground.

Most Disadvantaged

#6 Brave Cowboy Bill (8) This horse faces an arduous task. The combination of a wide barrier (8), a short run to the first turn, and the presence of an established leader drawn inside means it will likely be forced to work very hard early. There is a high probability of being trapped three-wide with no cover, which is a near-impossible position to win from under these conditions. #1 Devil Devil (9) is also severely disadvantaged by the wide gate and top weight.

💰Betting Considerations

The analysis strongly suggests focusing on horses drawn to get an economical run. #2 Pretty Slick is the standout from a mapping perspective and should be central to any betting strategy. Horses drawn wide, particularly #6 Brave Cowboy Bill and #1 Devil Devil, appear to be significant risks at short prices due to the high probability of a difficult run in transit. #3 Rideau has a favourable draw but the pressure from out wide is a concern. The race is a classic example of where the speed map can identify clear advantaged and disadvantaged runners, offering opportunities to back the former and oppose the latter.

Important: A Note on AI Analysis

Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.

Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.

🐎Individual Runner Analysis

Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning

1

Devil Devil

Horse #1
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
2

Pretty Slick

Horse #2
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
3

Rideau

Horse #3
LEADER
Predicted Position: Leader
4

Thunder Mania

Horse #4
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
5

Uncut Gem

Horse #5
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
6

Brave Cowboy Bill

Horse #6
ON-PACE/LEADER
Predicted Position: On-Pace/Leader
9

Bull Dimple Rum

Horse #9
UNKNOWN/MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Unknown/Midfield

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