Sandown-HillsideRace 31600m

Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm70)

Race 3 Speedmap - Sandown-Hillside

Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 3 at Sandown-Hillside

🏁Race Details

🏆
Race
Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm70)
🏅
Class
3yo Fillies Benchmark 70;
⏱️
Distance
1600m
🏟️
Track
Sandown-Hillside

🏁Speed Map Visualisation

Predicted race positioning and tactical setup

Start
Finish (1600m)
ON-PACE
3
Butternut Princess
4
Colour Our World
5
Grinzinger Fashion
9
Harsh
10
Miss Castelvecchio
Handy position, tactical flexibility
MIDFIELD
1
All Business
8
Silent Shares
Mid-pack, cover required
BACKMARKERS
2
Irrefutably
6
La Belle Grande
7
Sephia
Back of field, need tempo

⏱️Pace Analysis

MODERATE.
Race tempo prediction based on field analysis

There is a lack of a designated, high-pressure leader in this field. Several runners prefer to race on-pace, but none are obligate front-runners who will burn the turf. This should allow for a controlled tempo up front.

🏃‍♂️Likely Positions In-Running

🥇Leaders

Colour Our World (#4) appears the most likely to take up the running, possibly challenged by Butternut Princess (#3) who may cross over to sit on its flank.

🏃On-Pace/Handy

Miss Castelvecchio (#10) is drawn perfectly in barrier 1 to trail the leaders in the box seat. Grinzinger Fashion (#5) from barrier 4 should also land in a positive position, one or two pairs back on the rail or one-off.

🏃‍♂️Midfield

All Business (#1) maps to get a nice trail from barrier 5, settling in the moving line around midfield. Silent Shares (#8) will likely settle in the second half of the field, potentially having to cover some ground from barrier 9.

🐌Backmarkers

Irrefutably (#2), Sephia (#7), and La Belle Grande (#6) are all expected to settle near the rear of the field based on their established racing patterns. Irrefutably can save ground along the rail from the low draw while the other two will likely be spotting the leaders a significant start turning for home.

🛤️Rail Position Impact

The rail is out 11m for the entire circuit. This is a significant move that can often favour horses racing on or near the speed. The track narrows, particularly around the home turn, making it more difficult for backmarkers to sweep around the field without covering considerable extra ground. Horses drawn low who can hold a position are at a distinct advantage, while those caught wide will have to do more work than usual.

🌦️Track Condition & Weather

The track is rated a Soft 6. This surface will place a premium on race fitness and proven ability on wet ground. The long, uphill straight becomes even more demanding, and it will sort out those who cannot handle the conditions or see out a strong mile. The going may blunt the acceleration of some runners, favouring those with sustained closing speed over those with a brilliant, short burst. A moderate tempo on this surface could make it very difficult for backmarkers to make up the required ground on tiring leaders.

📏Track & Distance Factors

The 1600m start at Sandown-Hillside provides a long, fair run down the back straight before the main turn. This allows horses drawn across the field time to find their position without a mad scramble for the first corner. The defining feature is the long, uphill home straight, which is a genuine test of stamina, particularly on rain-affected ground like a Soft 6. A moderate tempo could lead to a dash from the 600m, but horses will need to be strong to the line to sustain their run up the incline.

🏁Race Conditions Impact

This is a Benchmark 70 Handicap for three-year-old fillies. At this time of year, form can be consistent, but fillies can also make sudden improvements. The handicap conditions mean weights are relatively compressed, but the top weight #1 All Business is conceding between 2.5kg and 5.5kg to the rest of the field, a notable impost on soft ground over a mile.

🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis

The combination of a predicted moderate tempo, the rail out 11m, and a testing Soft 6 surface points towards a race that will favour those positioned on or near the lead. The Sandown-Hillside straight is long enough to allow closers their chance, but if the leaders get away with cheap sectionals, they will be very difficult to run down. The race will likely develop into a sprint home from the 600m mark, and those who have had an energy-saving run and handle the ground will have the decisive edge.

Most Advantaged

#4 Colour Our World looks to get a perfect tactical run. From barrier 6, Dean Yendall can cruise forward, either leading or sitting outside the leader without burning excess energy. Her established on-pace pattern is ideal for the conditions, and she has performed well on soft ground previously. This map gives her every opportunity to control the race and kick strongly at the top of the testing straight.

Most Disadvantaged

#9 Harsh faces a very difficult map from barrier 11. Her best form has come when racing on-pace, but attempting to get there from the outside draw risks being posted three-wide with no cover for the entire trip, which would be fatal on this track. Easing back to find cover would be against her typical pattern. Backmarkers like #7 Sephia and #6 La Belle Grande are also disadvantaged by the likely moderate pace and rail position, as they will need to make up significant ground on what could be a compact field.

💰Betting Considerations

The analysis strongly suggests focusing on runners mapped to be in the first four or five positions in running.

  • Primary Focus: #4 Colour Our World and #10 Miss Castelvecchio have the most favourable maps. Colour Our World can control the race from the front, while Miss Castelvecchio is set to receive an economical run in the box seat from barrier 1. Both should be considered strong chances if they handle the Soft 6.
  • Value Considerations: #2 Irrefutably is a proven wet tracker coming off a win but is a backmarker. From barrier 2, if the pace is slightly more genuine than predicted or if the fence opens up, she could be the one charging late at a good price. #5 Grinzinger Fashion also maps for a soft run from barrier 4 and has form on soft going, representing potential value.
  • Risks: Runners drawn wide without tactical speed are a major risk. #9 Harsh is the key horse to be wary of due to the awkward barrier. Despite the class of #1 All Business, the 60kg top weight on a soft track from a midfield position is a significant concern if the race turns into a sprint home.

Important: A Note on AI Analysis

Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.

Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.

🐎Individual Runner Analysis

Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning

1

All Business

Horse #1
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
2

Irrefutably

Horse #2
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker
3

Butternut Princess

Horse #3
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
4

Colour Our World

Horse #4
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
5

Grinzinger Fashion

Horse #5
ON-PACE/MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: On-Pace/Midfield
6

La Belle Grande

Horse #6
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
7

Sephia

Horse #7
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker
8

Silent Shares

Horse #8
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
9

Harsh

Horse #9
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
10

Miss Castelvecchio

Horse #10
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace

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