2026 Inglis Yearling Sales Series (Bm72)
Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 4 at Warwick Farm
🏁Race Details
🏁Speed Map Visualisation
Predicted race positioning and tactical setup
⏱️Pace Analysis
The map lacks multiple designated, high-pressure leaders, suggesting a moderate tempo is most likely. The primary speed influence will come from #6 The Years, who has led over this distance previously and has an aggressive jockey in Adam Hyeronimus. However, he is not a pure speedster and may not be pressured heavily for the lead.
🏃♂️Likely Positions In-Running
🥇Leaders
#6 The Years is the standout candidate to lead the field.
🏃On-Pace/Handy
#4 Pink Shalala is expected to settle in a prominent position, likely outside the leader or one pair back. #5 Tazima is perfectly drawn to take the box seat trail behind the speed.
🏃♂️Midfield
#1 Valimi will look to use the inside draw to settle midfield on the fence, though its recent history of slow starts is a concern. #7 Kyeema also maps to settle mid-pack, as it too has a pattern of beginning awkwardly. #8 Leaders Listen is a complete unknown with no recent form and is placed here by default.
🐌Backmarkers
#3 Icebreaker is a natural get-back runner and will be ridden patiently from the wide barrier, settling near the tail of the field.
🛤️Rail Position Impact
With the rail in the True position, the track should play fairly. It typically provides an advantage to horses that can hold a position on or near the pace without spending too much energy. The entire width of the long straight should be available for use, meaning horses coming from behind will have their chance to find clear running.
🌦️Track Condition & Weather
The Soft 6 rating introduces a significant stamina test over the 1600m journey. The ground will blunt the finishing speed of some and will certainly find out any horse that is not fully fit or is a query at the distance. Leaders who set even a slightly-too-fast tempo will be vulnerable late. As the meeting progresses, the inside lanes may begin to deteriorate, potentially favouring horses who can make their runs down the centre of the track in the straight. Proven wet-track performers are at a distinct advantage.
📏Track & Distance Factors
The 1600m start at Warwick Farm provides a good run of over 400m down the back straight before the long, sweeping home turn. This configuration allows horses drawn both inside and out to find their natural positions without excessive early pressure. The long 400m home straight is a key feature, providing ample opportunity for all runners, including backmarkers, to make their runs, provided the pace is genuine enough.
🏁Race Conditions Impact
This is a Benchmark 72 Handicap, which brings together a competitive field with a relatively compressed weight scale. The presence of the un-raced #8 Leaders Listen adds a layer of uncertainty to the speed map; any significant betting move could signal intent to be more forward than predicted. The race is for colts, horses, and geldings, ensuring a solidly run contest.
🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis
The race is likely to be a tactical affair dictated by a moderate tempo. This scenario typically favours horses positioned on or just behind the speed, as they can conserve energy before launching their claims at the top of the long Warwick Farm straight. The Soft 6 track condition will be the great leveller, ensuring that pure stamina and an ability to handle the ground will be just as important as tactical position. The race will likely develop into a searching gallop from the 600m mark, testing the resolve of every runner.
✅Most Advantaged
#5 Tazima (2) is in an ideal tactical position. From barrier 2 with James McDonald, it should land in a perfect spot, likely the box seat, without spending any energy. The step up to 1600m appears suitable, and as a European import, the soft ground should pose no issue. The moderate pace allows it to travel comfortably and be produced at the perfect time.
❌Most Disadvantaged
#3 Icebreaker (9) faces a difficult task. As a natural backmarker, the predicted moderate tempo is a significant negative. It will need the leaders to overdo it or for the field to bunch up to have a winning chance. From the wide gate, it will be forced to settle at the rear and will need to make a long, sustained run on a testing track to reel in the leaders.
💰Betting Considerations
The analysis strongly points towards horses that can race on-pace and handle the soft conditions.
- Value Proposition: #5 Tazima and #4 Pink Shalala are mapped to get the best runs in the race and should be central to any betting strategies. They combine tactical speed with proven form.
- Risk Assessment: The likely leader, #6 The Years, could offer value if the pace is slower than anticipated, but it remains a risk given the testing 1600m on soft ground. Backing the designated backmarker, #3 Icebreaker, requires faith that the pace will be stronger than it appears on paper.
- Market Watch: Keep a close eye on any betting moves for the unknown runner, #8 Leaders Listen. A significant plunge could indicate stable confidence and disrupt the predicted race shape.
Important: A Note on AI Analysis
Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.
Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.
🐎Individual Runner Analysis
Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning
Valimi
Icebreaker
Pink Shalala
Tazima
The Years
Kyeema
Leaders Listen
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