Rob Young Country Boosted Showcase Mdn Plate
Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 2 at Coffs Harbour
🏁Race Details
🏁Speed Map Visualisation
Predicted race positioning and tactical setup
⏱️Pace Analysis
The presence of multiple runners who prefer to race forward, some drawn in middle to wide gates, should ensure a legitimate tempo. There is not a lone, clear-cut leader, which often leads to competition for the front.
🏃♂️Likely Positions In-Running
🥇Leaders
#9 Squatternut Bosh appears the most likely to press on and find the front. #7 Maggie Rose will attempt to cross from the wide gate and could sit outside the leader, though risks being caught three-wide without cover.
🏃On-Pace/Handy
#12 Nikody's Binks (3) and #5 Evony (4) are drawn perfectly to take a sit directly behind the leaders, enjoying an economical run. #1 Piedi Veloci (1) should use the inside gate to settle in the top four or five on the rail. #1 Hezanuff (8) and #13 Ol' Mate Coop (7) will look to slide across into a one-off position with cover.
🏃♂️Midfield
#2 Impending Fortune (2) draws for a soft run, likely three pairs back on the fence. #8 Saskatoon Berry (14) will be forced to settle in a midfield position but is at high risk of being caught wide from the awkward draw.
🐌Backmarkers
#6 Finding Elle (11), #16 Santos El Halper (12), and #10 Insain Chaos (13) all have patterns of settling rearward and their wide draws will see them drop out to the tail of the field for cover. #4 Beautiful Jo (6) and #14 Robbed By Rob (10) also lack early speed and will be in the last few.
🛤️Rail Position Impact
With the rail in the True position, the track should play fairly without a significant bias towards any particular running style or part of the track. Horses drawn low who possess tactical speed can use their barrier to advantage, saving ground around the turn. It's the most neutral setup for the course.
🌦️Track Condition & Weather
The track is a Soft 6. This will make the 1400m a genuine test of stamina and will bring proven wet-track performers to the fore. Horses that have to work hard early to find a position will be highly vulnerable in the final 200m. The soft going can dull the acceleration of brilliant sprinters, favouring horses with a strong, sustained finish. Runners with established form on soft or heavy ground (e.g., #1 Hezanuff, #13 Ol' Mate Coop, #8 Saskatoon Berry) hold an advantage.
📏Track & Distance Factors
The 1400m start at Coffs Harbour provides a fair run of approximately 400m to the first turn. This is enough for horses with speed to cross from middle gates, but those drawn very wide (like #7, #8, #16) are still at a significant disadvantage if they press forward. The home straight is around 400m long, which is ample for closers to make their run, provided the pace has been genuine and they haven't been asked to make up too much ground.
🏁Race Conditions Impact
As a Maiden Plate under Set Weight conditions, the race is not handicapped based on form, which can advantage the more promising, yet-to-win gallopers. Maidens are notoriously unpredictable, and form can be unreliable. However, being a "Showcase" event with elevated prizemoney ensures connections will have their horses ready to produce a peak performance, so intent should be high across the board.
🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis
The map points to a moderately to genuinely run race, shaped by the pressure from #9 Squatternut Bosh and the decision made on #7 Maggie Rose from the wide gate. This tempo should give every runner their chance, but the combination of the Soft 6 track and the 1400m distance will make an energy-efficient run paramount. Horses positioned on-pace with cover will have a significant tactical advantage, able to conserve energy before launching their claim in the straight. Backmarkers will have their chance if the pace is overdone, but will need to handle the conditions and find clear running.
✅Most Advantaged
#12 Nikody's Binks (3) This horse is perfectly mapped. From barrier 3, he can jump and land in the box seat, one-out-one-back or trailing the leader, without spending any extra energy. His tendency to race keenly will be negated by the genuine tempo. He will be poised to strike at the top of the straight with a full tank of fuel.
❌Most Disadvantaged
#7 Maggie Rose (17) The barrier is calamitous for an on-pace runner. She is forced to either burn an enormous amount of energy early attempting to find a forward position (risking being caught wide) or be restrained against her natural pattern, which would likely see her resent the kickback and fail to finish off. #8 Saskatoon Berry (14) also faces a tough task from a wide gate and will likely have to cover extra ground throughout.
💰Betting Considerations
The analysis strongly favours horses that can take up a forward-to-midfield position from an inside gate. The ability to handle the Soft 6 track is non-negotiable.
- Prime Candidates: #12 Nikody's Binks (3) is the clear standout from a mapping perspective. #13 Ol' Mate Coop (7) has the tactical speed to overcome a middle draw and has proven heavy track form, making him a strong contender. #1 Piedi Veloci (1) gets all the favours from the inside rail and must be respected if he settles kindly.
- Value/Risk: #2 Impending Fortune (2) gets a soft run midfield on the fence and will be finishing on. If the pace is stronger than anticipated and he gets the breaks in the straight, he could represent value.
- Lay/Avoid: Extreme caution is advised for horses drawn wide that need to go forward. #7 Maggie Rose (17) faces a near-impossible task. Others drawn wide without early speed, like #16 Santos El Halper (12), will be a long way back and need everything to go their way.
Important: A Note on AI Analysis
Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.
Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.
🐎Individual Runner Analysis
Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning
Hezanuff
Impending Fortune
Piedi Veloci
Beautiful Jo
Evony
Finding Elle
Maggie Rose
Saskatoon Berry
Squatternut Bosh
Insain Chaos
Nikody's Binks
Ol' Mate Coop
Robbed By Rob
Santos El Halper
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