Temporary Fence & Barrier Hire (Bm60)
Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 5 at Gatton
🏁Race Details
🏁Speed Map Visualisation
Predicted race positioning and tactical setup
⏱️Pace Analysis
The tempo will be dictated by the wide-drawn runners with forward-going patterns. There is a high probability of a genuine pace being set as key speed influences will need to work to find their positions.
🏃♂️Likely Positions In-Running
🥇Leaders
#10 Coney Island Baby is the most likely to press on and find the front. #8 Call Out will be prominent, likely settling just outside the leader or applying direct pressure.
🏃On-Pace/Handy
#1 Bean Dancing is drawn to get the perfect run, stalking the speed from the box seat. #3 Package can use its mid-draw (6) to slide into a one-out, one-back position if it begins well.
🏃♂️Midfield
This section will be comprised of #11 Mister Selfie, who typically settles mid-pack, and the race-day queries. #12 Suprendre and #13 Cheerful Cat, despite their inside draws, are likely to take a sit due to being first-up. The wide-drawn unknowns, #2 Haysiri and #6 Youcompleteme, will likely be forced to settle in the back half of the field to find cover.
🐌Backmarkers
#19 Termite is a designated closer who will settle at or near the rear of the field by design and look to make one run late.
🛤️Rail Position Impact
With the rail in the True position, the track should play fairly, and the inside ground will be the shortest route home. This provides a distinct advantage to horses drawn low who can hold their position, such as #1 Bean Dancing. They can save crucial ground on the tight turns while those who worked early from wide gates may be tiring. It makes being caught wide without cover particularly detrimental.
🌦️Track Condition & Weather
The Soft 6 rating introduces a significant stamina test over the 1600m journey. The genuine pace predicted will make it a true mile test. Horses that are forced to do work early, particularly the leader #10 Coney Island Baby, will be highly susceptible to tiring in the final stages on the rain-affected ground. The conditions elevate the chances of strong finishers, provided they are not left with an impossible task in the short straight. Horses with proven form on soft or heavy going will have a key advantage. The state of the inside section of the track will be important; if it begins to chop out, jockeys may look for slightly wider, firmer ground in the straight.
📏Track & Distance Factors
The 1600m start at Gatton provides a reasonable run of approximately 350m to the first turn. This allows horses drawn wide with speed, such as #10 Coney Island Baby, a chance to cross. However, it requires a significant energy burn to do so. Gatton is a notoriously tight-turning circuit with a very short home straight of around 300m. This profile heavily favours horses positioned on or near the pace turning for home, as it is difficult for backmarkers to make up substantial ground in the short final dash to the line.
🏁Race Conditions Impact
As a Benchmark 60 handicap, the race features a field of relatively evenly matched horses. However, the presence of four runners resuming from a spell (#2 Haysiri, #6 Youcompleteme, #12 Suprendre, #13 Cheerful Cat) adds a major layer of uncertainty. Their fitness for a genuinely run 1600m on soft ground is a serious query, making them risky propositions. The established race fitness of the other runners is a considerable asset under these conditions.
🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis
The race is set to be run at a genuine tempo, driven by #10 Coney Island Baby's need to cross from a wide barrier, with #8 Call Out ensuring the pressure remains on. This setup on a tight Gatton track with a Soft 6 rating will create a significant test of stamina. The short straight means that despite the strong pace, the winner is likely to come from the first half of the field. The key will be identifying the horse that gets the most economical run in transit, conserving energy for the final 300m. Backmarkers will need the leaders to stop dramatically to come into contention.
✅Most Advantaged
#1 Bean Dancing The speed map presents an almost perfect tactical scenario for this horse. From barrier 1, it is drawn to get the ideal "box seat" run, sitting directly behind the strong speed battle. It saves ground with the rail in the True position and will be presented with a run as the early leaders inevitably get tired on the soft ground. It has handled soft going before and should be poised to strike in the short straight having done no work.
❌Most Disadvantaged
#10 Coney Island Baby While it will dictate the race, the tactical situation is fraught with danger. The combination of a wide gate (12), the energy required to cross and lead over 1600m, the pressure from #8 Call Out, and the testing Soft 6 surface makes it extremely vulnerable to being run down late. Similarly, the resuming runners from wide gates, #2 Haysiri and #6 Youcompleteme, face an enormous task.
💰Betting Considerations
The analysis points towards focusing on horses that can take advantage of a solid tempo without participating in the early burn. The map makes #1 Bean Dancing a very logical contender due to the perfect run it projects to receive. #8 Call Out is a key player but carries the risk of being part of a speed duel. Value could be found in a horse like #3 Package if it can slot into a handy position with cover. The primary risk lies with the designated leader #10 Coney Island Baby, which looks set to do too much work, and the four resuming runners, who are complete unknowns in terms of fitness and are best treated with extreme caution. The betting strategy should centre on identifying the horse poised to get the "first run" on the tiring leaders.
Important: A Note on AI Analysis
Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.
Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.
🐎Individual Runner Analysis
Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning
Bean Dancing
Haysiri
Package
Youcompleteme
Call Out
Coney Island Baby
Mister Selfie
Suprendre
Cheerful Cat
Termite
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