Ladbrokes Form Genius Plate (C6)
Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 9 at Eagle Farm
🏁Race Details
🏁Speed Map Visualisation
Predicted race positioning and tactical setup
⏱️Pace Analysis
The presence of at least two natural forward-runners ensures an honest tempo. The pressure is unlikely to be frantic, but the leaders will not get an easy time in front, setting the race up for those positioned just off the speed or with a strong closing burst.
🏃♂️Likely Positions In-Running
🥇Leaders
Expect #17 Iobject to cross from barrier 5 and take up the running. #3 Taltarni Fields will use his inside draw to be right there, either leading or sitting in a stalking position just off the leader.
🏃On-Pace/Handy
#11 Billionair Baby is drawn perfectly in barrier 3 to secure the coveted "box seat" or a one-out, one-back position, tracking the speed. The debutant #16 Hawker Hall from barrier 2 could potentially hold the rail behind the leaders, though his pattern is unknown.
🏃♂️Midfield
#10 Tribeca Star will likely aim to use barrier 1 to find a spot midfield on the fence, assuming he begins on terms (stewards' reports note he can be slow away). #12 Caspernova draws awkwardly in 11 and will likely be forced to settle mid-pack, possibly three-wide with cover.
🐌Backmarkers
#13 Pereille, #7 John Rambo, and #8 Millane all have established racing patterns of settling in the second half of the field. Millane, from the wide gate (12), is the most likely to be at or near the tail of the field.
🛤️Rail Position Impact
With the rail at +3m, the track should play fairly. This position is standard and doesn't typically create a significant bias towards on-pace runners or those drawn inside. The long straight ensures that horses have plenty of time and space to make their runs, mitigating the impact of being caught on the fence in the early and middle stages. Finding clear air at the top of the straight remains the priority for all runners.
🌦️Track Condition & Weather
A Good 4 surface at Eagle Farm provides a perfect, firm racing deck. This will suit horses with a sharp turn of foot and allows for fast overall times. There will be no excuses related to the going, and the track is expected to play evenly. Proven dry-track performers will be at an advantage, and the genuine tempo combined with a firm surface will place a premium on a horse's ability to sustain a powerful closing sprint.
📏Track & Distance Factors
The Eagle Farm 1200m start provides a fair run into the first turn, allowing horses time to find their positions. The key characteristic of this track is the long, sweeping home straight (434m). This provides ample opportunity for backmarkers to build momentum and run down the leaders, especially if the pace has been genuine. It is a testing final 200m, and horses that have done too much work early can be vulnerable late.
🏁Race Conditions Impact
As a Class 6 Plate, this race is run under Set Weights conditions. This structure is a significant advantage for the highest-rated horses in the field, as they are not penalised with extra weight for superior past performances. Class and raw ability will be more influential than handicap ratings, favouring established, quality gallopers.
🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis
The map projects a fairly run race with a moderate-to-genuine tempo, which should give every horse its chance. The leaders, #17 Iobject and #3 Taltarni Fields, will set a solid foundation. The long Eagle Farm straight will be the ultimate arbiter. Horses tracking the speed will get the first opportunity to strike, but the honest pace ensures that strong finishers from midfield and the back will be right in the hunt if they are good enough. The race will likely develop into a sustained sprint home from the 400m mark.
✅Most Advantaged
#11 Billionair Baby (3) He maps to get the perfect economical run of the race. From barrier 3, jockey Ben Thompson can land in an ideal trailing position (box seat or one-one) behind a genuine speed. This will allow him to conserve energy before launching his attack at the top of the long straight, making him a primary tactical threat.
❌Most Disadvantaged
#8 Millane (12) His get-back racing style combined with the extreme outside barrier (12) presents a significant tactical challenge. He will almost certainly settle near the rear and will be forced to make a long, wide run around the field. On a Good 4 track, he will be conceding a considerable head start to quality opposition and will require a fast pace and a clear path to be competitive.
💰Betting Considerations
The analysis points towards horses that can either sustain a strong on-pace effort or those who can benefit from a perfect trail.
- High-Confidence Profile: #11 Billionair Baby fits the profile of a horse set to receive all the favours in the run. His position on the map makes him a logical contender.
- On-Pace Chances: #3 Taltarni Fields is well-drawn and will be in the race for a long way. His chances hinge on whether he can withstand the early pressure and still produce a kick in the straight.
- Value Opportunities: Backmarkers like #7 John Rambo and the visiting #13 Pereille could represent value. The genuine tempo will suit their closing styles, and they will be charging late down the expansive Eagle Farm straight. They are key inclusions for exotic bets.
- Risk Assessment: The primary risk is with #8 Millane due to the barrier. #10 Tribeca Star is also a risk if he misses the start from the inside gate, as he could be shuffled back into an awkward position. The debutant #16 Hawker Hall is a complete unknown and difficult to assess.
Important: A Note on AI Analysis
Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.
Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.
🐎Individual Runner Analysis
Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning
Taltarni Fields
John Rambo
Millane
Tribeca Star
Billionair Baby
Caspernova
Pereille
Hawker Hall
Iobject
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