Cox Electrical (Rs0ly)
Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 1 at Murray Bridge GH
🏁Race Details
🏁Speed Map Visualisation
Predicted race positioning and tactical setup
⏱️Pace Analysis
The presence of multiple horses with a history of racing on the speed should ensure an honest tempo. There is no lone, uncontested leader here, which points away from a slow pace. - **#5 Following Sea:** Has led in the past and possesses the gate speed to push forward and take up the running. - **#3 Showrunner:** Drawn perfectly in barrier 2 to kick up and hold a prominent position. Will either sit outside the lead or take the box seat, ensuring pressure on the leader. - **#4 Bolt By:** Coming off a win where it sat handy. From the wide gate (9), Jason Holder will likely be positive to avoid being caught wide, which will inject pace into the first 400m.
🛤️Rail Position Impact
With the rail in the True position for the majority of the race, the track should play fairly. This setup does not inherently advantage any specific running style. However, on a Soft track, if there is any wear and tear from previous races, the inside lanes could become slightly inferior as the day progresses. For this race, being in the True position should provide a fair surface for all.
🌦️Track Condition & Weather
The track is rated a Soft 6. This will place a greater emphasis on stamina, especially over the 1800m journey. Horses that can handle rain-affected ground will be advantaged. The conditions may slightly blunt the speed of the natural leaders in the final 200m, potentially bringing strong finishers into the race. It makes the task tougher for any horse forced to cover extra ground, like #4 Bolt By could be.
📏Track & Distance Factors
The 1800m start at Murray Bridge provides a long run down the back straight before the first major turn. This configuration gives horses drawn in middle to wide gates, such as #1 All So Clear (7) and #4 Bolt By (9), a fair opportunity to roll forward and find a position without being rushed. The track features a long, sweeping home straight, which typically gives every runner their chance, including those coming from behind, provided the pace is genuine.
🏁Race Conditions Impact
This is a Restricted 0 win in the last year race, meaning the field is comprised of horses that are either out of form or finding their right class. This can lead to increased unpredictability. The presence of #8 Jamrock, a runner with no recent public form, adds a significant layer of uncertainty to the map and overall race shape. Last start winners like #1 All So Clear and #4 Bolt By bring confidence but also carry weight.
🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis
The map points to a moderately to genuinely run race, which should give most runners a chance. The key will be which on-pace runners can get the most economical trips. The Soft 6 track will test the fitness and stamina of all runners, particularly those who are forced to work early from wide gates. The long straight provides an opportunity for closers, but they will need the pace to be strong enough to run down the leaders.
✅Most Advantaged
#3 Showrunner (3) This horse is set up for a perfect race. From barrier 2, Ben Price can elect to hold the lead or, more likely, take the box seat trail behind #5 Following Sea. This allows for a ground-saving, energy-conserving run on a testing Soft 6 track. The horse is consistently on-pace and has recent form, making this the ideal tactical setup.
❌Most Disadvantaged
#4 Bolt By (9) Despite winning last start, the wide barrier presents a significant challenge. The horse will have to be used up early to cross and find a position near the lead. Being caught three-wide without cover on a Soft 6 surface over 1800m would be tactically disastrous and severely compromise its finishing effort. #7 Esky (7) is also at a disadvantage if the pace is only moderate, as it will be left with too much ground to make up in the straight.
💰Betting Considerations
- Primary Focus: Horses with proven soft track form that map to get a favourable run on or near the pace. #3 Showrunner fits this profile perfectly and looks the horse to beat from a tactical standpoint.
- Value/Exotics: #1 All So Clear is a major player. While drawn slightly wide, Jake Toeroek is an expert at navigating these situations. If he can slot in with cover, the horse has the class and recent winning form to be in the finish. #2 Booker Tee is an interesting runner for exotics; from barrier 3 with a light weight, it is guaranteed an economical run and could hit the frame at odds if it brings its best.
- Risks: #4 Bolt By is a risk due to the barrier. While a last start winner, the map is against it today. #8 Jamrock is impossible to assess with confidence and is best avoided unless there is strong market support. Backing the designated closer, #7 Esky, is a bet on the pace being truly testing.
Important: A Note on AI Analysis
Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.
Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.
🐎Individual Runner Analysis
Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning
All So Clear
Booker Tee
Showrunner
Bolt By
Following Sea
Aitch D'amico
Esky
Jamrock
Ready for an Edge?
Join our free newsletter for expert analysis and data-backed selections delivered every Wednesday and Saturday.