GawlerRace 31100m

Gawler Self Storage Hcp (C1)

Race 3 Speedmap - Gawler

Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 3 at Gawler

🏁Race Details

🏆
Race
Gawler Self Storage Hcp (C1)
🏅
Class
Class 1;
⏱️
Distance
1100m
🏟️
Track
Gawler

🏁Speed Map Visualisation

Predicted race positioning and tactical setup

Start
Finish (1100m)
LEADERS
8
Silver Chaos
Expected to set the pace
ON-PACE
1
Koratora
2
All Shot
4
Gumeracha Cracker
9
Four Diva
10
Emmooki Magic
Handy position, tactical flexibility
MIDFIELD
6
Just A Jewel
Mid-pack, cover required
BACKMARKERS
7
Real Humour
11
Lachlan Castle
Back of field, need tempo

⏱️Pace Analysis

GENUINE TO STRONG.
Race tempo prediction based on field analysis

The map points towards a solid tempo, primarily driven by the number of horses who prefer to race on the speed. There are multiple pressure points in the race which should ensure a truly run 1100m, especially on the testing Soft 7 ground.

🏃‍♂️Likely Positions In-Running

🥇Leaders

#8 Silver Chaos is the most likely to find the front. #1 Koratora will be right there with it, either challenging for the lead or sitting in the death seat. One of #10 Emmooki Magic or #9 Four Diva may attempt to cross from their wide gates, adding to the pressure.

🏃On-Pace/Handy

#2 All Shot is drawn perfectly in barrier 1 to take the coveted box-seat trail behind the leaders. #4 Gumeracha Cracker from gate 2 will look for a similar run, settling one or two pairs back on the fence.

🏃‍♂️Midfield

#6 Just A Jewel should find a comfortable spot midfield with cover from the good draw. If they elect to take a sit from the wide gates, #9 Four Diva and #10 Emmooki Magic will likely land here, though potentially caught wide.

🐌Backmarkers

#11 Lachlan Castle and #7 Real Humour are the most likely to settle in the second half of the field and will be looking to run on late.

🛤️Rail Position Impact

With the rail out +2m in sections, the track may play slightly tighter, particularly around the turn. This can consolidate the advantage for horses on the inside who are saving ground. On a Soft 7 surface, the ground closer to the rail might begin to chop up as the day progresses, potentially creating a scenario where horses fanning slightly wider in the straight find a better lane. However, the ground saved on the turn often outweighs this.

🌦️Track Condition & Weather

The official Soft 7 rating is a critical element. This will make the 1100m a genuine test of stamina, especially if the predicted strong pace eventuates. Horses that are forced to do work early from wide barriers will be highly susceptible to tiring in the final furlong. Proven form on wet ground is a significant asset. #1 Koratora, #6 Just A Jewel, and #8 Silver Chaos all have recent winning or placing form on Soft 7 or Heavy tracks and are well-suited by the conditions.

📏Track & Distance Factors

The 1100m start at Gawler features a relatively short run to the first turn. This is a significant factor, as it places horses drawn wide at a major tactical disadvantage if they lack superior gate speed to cross the field. This course configuration heavily favours runners drawn in low-to-middle gates who can hold a forward position without burning excess energy. The long home straight does offer an opportunity for backmarkers, but on a testing Soft 7 track, making up significant ground on leaders who have had an easier run will be a formidable task.

🏁Race Conditions Impact

As a Class 1 Handicap, the field consists of horses with limited winning experience, which can lead to greater form variability. The presence of apprentice jockeys on #9 Four Diva and #10 Emmooki Magic provides substantial weight relief, which could tempt connections to be aggressive early from their wide barriers to try and offset the poor draws. This adds a layer of uncertainty to the pace scenario.

🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis

The race is set up for horses drawn inside gates who possess tactical speed. The predicted strong tempo on a rain-affected track will punish those who have to work hard early. The short run to the turn from the 1100m start amplifies the advantage of inside draws and the disadvantage of wide ones. The race will likely be won by a horse who secures an economical run just behind the speed battle, conserving energy before launching their claim in the long Gawler straight.

Most Advantaged

#2 All Shot. Drawn perfectly in barrier 1 to enjoy the run of the race. Can sit in the box seat, saving crucial ground on the wet track while the leaders and wide-drawn horses burn energy up front. Gets every chance to present at the top of the straight with a full tank. #4 Gumeracha Cracker is in a very similar, highly advantageous position from gate 2.

Most Disadvantaged

#10 Emmooki Magic and #9 Four Diva. Both have racing patterns that suggest they want to be on-pace, but their wide barriers (11 and 10) make this almost impossible without being caught three or four deep without cover. They face a tactical nightmare: burn fuel they don't have to press forward, or be restrained against their pattern and left with too much work to do from the rear on a tiring track.

💰Betting Considerations

The analysis strongly points towards horses drawn in barriers 1-5 who have demonstrated proficiency on wet ground. These runners have a significant tactical advantage.

  • Primary Focus: #2 All Shot and #4 Gumeracha Cracker map to get the perfect runs and should be central to any betting strategy.
  • Risks: The likely leaders, #1 Koratora and #8 Silver Chaos, are proven in the conditions but risk engaging in a speed duel that could leave them vulnerable late. The wide-drawn horses, #9 Four Diva and #10 Emmooki Magic, are tactical risks and should be opposed.
  • Value Opportunity: #6 Just A Jewel is a last-start winner on a heavy track, draws well to get a soft run midfield, and will appreciate the strong tempo. This horse could represent value if it can produce a strong closing burst as the leaders tire.

Important: A Note on AI Analysis

Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.

Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.

🐎Individual Runner Analysis

Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning

1

Koratora

Horse #1
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
2

All Shot

Horse #2
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
4

Gumeracha Cracker

Horse #4
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
6

Just A Jewel

Horse #6
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
7

Real Humour

Horse #7
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
8

Silver Chaos

Horse #8
LEADER
Predicted Position: Leader
9

Four Diva

Horse #9
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
10

Emmooki Magic

Horse #10
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
11

Lachlan Castle

Horse #11
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker

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