GawlerRace 61500m

Matrix Solar Solutions Hcp (56)

Race 6 Speedmap - Gawler

Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 6 at Gawler

🏁Race Details

🏆
Race
Matrix Solar Solutions Hcp (56)
🏅
Class
Restricted 56;
⏱️
Distance
1500m
🏟️
Track
Gawler

🏁Speed Map Visualisation

Predicted race positioning and tactical setup

Start
Finish (1500m)
LEADERS
3
Easy Beast
Expected to set the pace
ON-PACE
2
Blue Special
8
Vee Rod
9
Bywaters Road
15
Fight For Freedom
Handy position, tactical flexibility
MIDFIELD
7
Flying Step
Mid-pack, cover required
BACKMARKERS
1
Eight On The Dot
4
Robert The Puss
5
Midnight Rush
10
Fantastic Host
11
My Mate Cobber
12
Charm Slinga
13
Prancing Countess
14
Hostess Susie
Back of field, need tempo

⏱️Pace Analysis

MODERATE TO GENUINE.
Race tempo prediction based on field analysis

The pace of this race will be primarily dictated by #3 Easy Beast, a natural front-runner who will be intent on crossing from the wide barrier (10). This exertion to find the lead should ensure the pace is at least moderate. Pressure could be added by #2 Blue Special, who has led to win and often races handy, and potentially #15 Fight For Freedom from barrier 11, who may push forward to avoid being caught three-wide. #9 Bywaters Road also possesses tactical speed from an inside gate and will keep the leaders honest. The combination of a designated leader working from a wide gate and several other on-pace runners should ensure a legitimate tempo.

🏃‍♂️Likely Positions In-Running

🥇Leaders

#3 Easy Beast is the clear-cut leader and will be sent forward to dictate terms. The main question is how much work is required to get there.

🏃On-Pace/Handy

#9 Bywaters Road is mapped for the perfect run in the box seat, trailing the leader from barrier 2. #2 Blue Special should land in an ideal position, one-out and one-back, from barrier 5. #8 Vee Rod can use the inside draw to hold a position on the rail just behind the speed. #15 Fight For Freedom is at risk of being caught three-wide without cover if it pushes forward.

🏃‍♂️Midfield

A large group will settle here. #7 Flying Step projects to be mid-pack with cover. From their wide gates, #5 Midnight Rush (14) and #11 My Mate Cobber (15) will almost certainly have to drop back into this group or further to find a position. #1 Eight On The Dot and #10 Fantastic Host are also likely to settle in the running line, mid-division.

🐌Backmarkers

This race has a long tail. #4 Robert The Puss, #12 Charm Slinga, #13 Prancing Countess, and #14 Hostess Susie will all settle in the rear third of the field as per their established get-back racing patterns.

🛤️Rail Position Impact

With the rail at +2m for significant sections of the track (1700m-1500m and 800m-400m), the course will ride slightly tighter. This can sometimes favour horses racing on the pace, as it makes it marginally more difficult for those making wide, sweeping runs from the back to make up the required ground. Finding cover in the run will be important, and those caught wide will be at a distinct disadvantage.

🌦️Track Condition & Weather

The official rating of a Soft 7 is a critical factor. This will make the 1500m a genuine test of stamina and will blunt the acceleration of many runners. Horses with proven form on rain-affected ground will have a significant advantage. The pace set by the leaders will feel more taxing, making them potentially vulnerable late in the race. By this stage of the meeting, the inside section of the track may begin to chop out, potentially favouring horses who can make their finishing run down the middle to the outside of the straight. This could bring the strong, wet-track backmarkers into play.

📏Track & Distance Factors

The 1500m start at Gawler is located in a chute, providing a straight run of approximately 500m to the first turn. This is a fair starting point that allows horses drawn wider with speed, like #3 Easy Beast, a reasonable opportunity to cross and find a position without being immediately disadvantaged. The home straight is around 300m long, which is sufficient for backmarkers to make up ground, particularly if the pace has been genuine and the track allows for runs to be made down the centre.

🏁Race Conditions Impact

This is a low-grade Restricted 56 handicap, which often leads to inconsistent performances. The speed map can be less reliable than in higher-class races, as tactics can change and horses may not run to their typical patterns. The key will be identifying a horse that not only gets a favourable run but can also genuinely handle the testing Soft 7 conditions, as many in this grade will struggle.

🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis

The race is set to be run at a moderate to genuine tempo on a testing Soft 7 track. This combination will place a premium on race fitness, stamina, and an ability to handle wet ground. The leader, #3 Easy Beast, will have to work from a wide gate, making it vulnerable to challengers in the straight. The ideal position appears to be just off the speed with cover, conserving energy before launching a bid in the long home straight. Backmarkers with a strong finish and proven wet-track credentials are a definite chance if they can find clear running down the better part of the track.

Most Advantaged

#9 Bywaters Road (2) From barrier 2, he is drawn for a perfect, energy-saving run, likely settling in the box seat behind the leader. He has form on soft ground, carries a light weight (54.0kg), and his on-pace pattern is suited to this track and rail configuration. He should get every possible chance.

Most Disadvantaged

#3 Easy Beast (10) While the likely leader, the combination of a wide draw forcing early work, a genuine tempo, and a sapping Soft 7 track makes it tactically very difficult to sustain the effort for the entire 1500m. Runners drawn extremely wide with midfield patterns, such as #5 Midnight Rush (14) and #11 My Mate Cobber (15), are also severely disadvantaged and will need a lot of luck to get into the race.

💰Betting Considerations

  • Primary Focus: Target horses with demonstrated ability on Soft or Heavy tracks. The Soft 7 rating will be the dominant factor in the race outcome.
  • Key Tactical Profile: Horses mapping to sit just off the speed with cover are in the prime position. #9 Bywaters Road is the standout from a mapping perspective. #2 Blue Special also maps well.
  • Value Opportunities: Backmarkers who love the wet could offer value. #4 Robert The Puss won last start on a Heavy 8 and will be running on strongly if the pace collapses. He is a key contender if the track is playing to closers.
  • Risks: Be very cautious of the designated leader #3 Easy Beast due to the high-energy run he is likely to endure. Similarly, runners drawn in the far outside barriers (11 and wider) face a significant tactical challenge and represent poor betting propositions unless they possess a clear class edge, which is unlikely in this grade.

Important: A Note on AI Analysis

Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.

Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.

🐎Individual Runner Analysis

Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning

1

Eight On The Dot

Horse #1
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
2

Blue Special

Horse #2
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
3

Easy Beast

Horse #3
LEADER
Predicted Position: Leader
4

Robert The Puss

Horse #4
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker
5

Midnight Rush

Horse #5
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
7

Flying Step

Horse #7
MIDFIELD
Predicted Position: Midfield
8

Vee Rod

Horse #8
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace
9

Bywaters Road

Horse #9
ON-PACE
Predicted Position: On-Pace
10

Fantastic Host

Horse #10
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
11

My Mate Cobber

Horse #11
MIDFIELD/BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Midfield/Backmarker
12

Charm Slinga

Horse #12
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker
13

Prancing Countess

Horse #13
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker
14

Hostess Susie

Horse #14
BACKMARKER
Predicted Position: Backmarker
15

Fight For Freedom

Horse #15
TACTICAL/ON-PACE
Predicted Position: Tactical/On-Pace

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