Clinton Taylor Premier Trainer Hcp
Speed analysis and sectional breakdown for Race 3 at Rockhampton
🏁Race Details
🏁Speed Map Visualisation
Predicted race positioning and tactical setup
⏱️Pace Analysis
The map is defined by two committed leaders drawn side-by-side. Both have a history of wanting to control the race from the front, which sets up a likely speed duel from the barriers over the 1100m journey.
🏃♂️Likely Positions In-Running
🥇Leaders
#7 Alloutatime (2) and #5 Dragon's Snip (3) are expected to engage in a battle for the lead. Alloutatime's light weight and inside draw may give it the edge to hold the rail, with Dragon's Snip applying pressure on its outside.
🏃On-Pace/Handy
#1 Thisland Is Myland (4) is perfectly drawn to stalk the speed, likely landing in the coveted "box seat" or one-out, one-back position. #2 Divine Okay (1) should use the inside alley to trail the leaders on the fence, securing an economical run. #8 Battle Of Vienna (6) will likely press forward to find a position in the running line, possibly outside the on-pace horses.
🏃♂️Midfield
#3 Captain Fox (7) and #6 Svindal (8) are drawn wider and will likely settle in the middle of the pack, potentially having to cover extra ground.
🐌Backmarkers
#4 Deep Blast (5) is the designated closer. Its pattern is to settle near the rear of the field and will be relying on a strong pace to make a late run.
🛤️Rail Position Impact
With the rail at +0.5m, it is effectively in the True position. This typically offers a fair racing surface at Rockhampton. However, on a Soft 5 track, the inside section could begin to chop out as the meeting progresses. This may lead jockeys to search for slightly firmer ground wider in the straight, potentially favouring horses who can peel off the fence on straightening.
🌦️Track Condition & Weather
The Soft 5 rating will be a key factor. It will place a greater emphasis on stamina, especially for the leaders who are likely to set a strong pace. Horses that have a proven ability to handle rain-affected ground will be advantaged. The combination of a strong tempo and soft going will test the resolution of the entire field and could set the race up perfectly for a strong finisher who gets an ideal run in transit.
📏Track & Distance Factors
The 1100m start at Rockhampton provides a reasonable run to the first turn, allowing speed horses to find their position. However, the track features a relatively short home straight (approx. 350m) and a tight turn. This configuration means that a strong tempo can make the leaders vulnerable, but backmarkers must commence their runs before the home turn to be a winning chance. Getting caught wide on the turn is a significant disadvantage.
🏁Race Conditions Impact
This is an Open Handicap, the highest class of provincial racing. The weights are compressed but the spread from top to bottom is still significant. #7 Alloutatime's feather weight of 51.0kg is a major tactical advantage for a front-runner. Conversely, the top weight #1 Thisland Is Myland (60.0kg) will find its task more challenging on the soft ground, making its ability to get an economical run crucial.
🧠Tactical Insight & Strategic Analysis
The race is defined by the speed duel between #7 Alloutatime and #5 Dragon's Snip. This high-pressure scenario on a Soft 5 track is likely to make the leaders vulnerable in the final 150m. The race will likely be won by a horse that can secure an economical run just behind this speed battle and has the strength to finish off powerfully on the testing ground. Backmarkers face a tough task on the short straight unless the leaders completely collapse.
✅Most Advantaged
#1 Thisland Is Myland (4) This horse is mapped to get the perfect run. From barrier 4, jockey Sean Cormack can elect to take the box seat behind the speed duel. The horse handles soft ground and, despite the weight, will be positioned to strike as the leaders tire, giving it the first opportunity to pounce.
❌Most Disadvantaged
#4 Deep Blast (5) While the strong pace is favourable, this horse's get-back racing style is a major negative at the Rockhampton 1100m. It will be spotting a good field a significant start and will need to make a wide, sustained run on a short straight and soft track, which is a very low-percentage play. The two leaders, #5 Dragon's Snip and #7 Alloutatime, are also disadvantaged by their own likely tactics, which could see them burn each other out.
💰Betting Considerations
The speed map strongly suggests that looking for a horse to run over the top of the leaders is the primary betting strategy. The intense pressure up front is likely to create vulnerability.
- Primary Targets: #1 Thisland Is Myland and #2 Divine Okay are the two runners best positioned to benefit from the predicted race shape. They are drawn to get soft, economical runs directly behind the pace and will be poised to strike in the straight.
- Value Proposition: #2 Divine Okay comes off a strong win, draws the rail, and gets a positive map. It represents a solid chance at what could be better odds than the top-weight.
- Risks: It is risky to back either of the two leaders (#5 Dragon's Snip, #7 Alloutatime) to win, as a duel is highly probable. #4 Deep Blast is also a significant risk due to its racing pattern and the track configuration.
- Exotic Bets: Boxing #1 Thisland Is Myland and #2 Divine Okay in Quinellas and Exactas is a logical play based on the map. For Trifectas and First Fours, include the tiring leaders (#5, #7) and potentially the swooper (#4) for minor placings.
Important: A Note on AI Analysis
Our AI Speedmap Summaries are the result of extensive testing and data analysis. However, it's important to remember that AI models can sometimes make assumptions about horses, jockeys, or race conditions that may not be perfectly accurate.
Please use this information as a guide, not as definitive advice. As with any speed map, if the underlying pace prediction does not unfold as expected, the subsequent analysis may also be affected. Always combine this analysis with your own judgement and research.
🐎Individual Runner Analysis
Detailed breakdown of each horse's chances and tactical positioning
Thisland Is Myland
Divine Okay
Captain Fox
Deep Blast
Dragon's Snip
Svindal
Alloutatime
Battle Of Vienna
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