Hawkesbury

Soft 5Rail: +2m 1100m-450m, True Remainder—12:10–16:25

Meeting overview

Hawkesbury in NSW hosts a provincial meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +2m 1100m-450m, True Remainder. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:10 to 16:25.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,800m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is St Johns Park Bowling Club Provincial (Bm64).

What history says

Over 215 races from 2025-05-03 to 2026-05-21, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.22 A/E, 1.5% strike rate).

Trainer Brad Widdup has 3 runners and a 20.5% local strike rate from 73 runs (1.03 A/E) and Jockey Tommy Berry has 3 runners and a 27.8% local strike rate from 72 runs (1.02 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

215 races · 1892 runners · since 2025-05-03

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JShannen Llewellyn2 todayA/E 2.05TMarc & Mitchell Conners3 todayA/E 1.93TM & D Kearney2 todayA/E 1.89JDeanne Panya2 todayA/E 1.84TMs K Gavenlock2 todayA/E 1.46JEmma Ly2 todayA/E 1.31JBrock Ryan2 todayA/E 1.25JSam Clipperton2 todayA/E 1.14TJoseph Pride2 todayA/E 1.11TBrad Widdup3 todayA/E 1.03JTommy Berry3 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	793	103	47.9%	13%	0.87
Middle (5–9)	853	94	43.7%	11%	0.81
Wide (10+)	246	18	8.4%	7.3%	0.73

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	558	106	49.3%	19%	1.07
On-pace (4–6)	551	57	26.5%	10.3%	0.73
Midfield (7–10)	462	22	10.2%	4.8%	0.51
Backmarkers (11+)	68	1	0.5%	1.5%	0.22
Unknown	253	29	13.5%	11.5%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	72	44	20.5%	61.1%	0.98
Pop ($2–5)	393	102	47.4%	26%	0.89
Mid ($5–10)	417	43	20%	10.3%	0.76
Roughie (>$10)	1010	26	12.1%	2.6%	0.61

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.