Mackay

Soft 5Rail: +3m Entire—12:52–16:34

Meeting overview

Mackay in QLD hosts a country meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +3m Entire. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:52 to 16:34.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,560m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 3 benchmark races, and 3 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Barry Williams Memorial Lightning Hcp.

What history says

Over 183 races from 2025-05-01 to 2026-05-23, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Jockey Adam Sewell has 6 runners and a 12.1% local strike rate from 99 runs (1.18 A/E) and Trainer Lachie Manzelmann has 13 runners and a 9.2% local strike rate from 173 runs (1.11 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

183 races · 1558 runners · since 2025-05-01

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs G Bell4 todayA/E 2.06JTasha Chambers2 todayA/E 1.84TToni Schofield2 todayA/E 1.69JAidan Holt4 todayA/E 1.33TJennifer Hatfield2 todayA/E 1.22JAdam Sewell6 todayA/E 1.18TL A Wright2 todayA/E 1.17TLachie Manzelmann13 todayA/E 1.11TMs O Cairns3 todayA/E 1.07TMs R Binder2 todayA/E 1.06TJ E McConachy3 todayA/E 1.03

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	694	96	52.5%	13.8%	0.83
Middle (5–9)	689	72	39.3%	10.4%	0.79
Wide (10+)	175	15	8.2%	8.6%	0.92

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	401	77	42.1%	19.2%	0.96
On-pace (4–6)	390	41	22.4%	10.5%	0.75
Midfield (7–10)	287	16	8.7%	5.6%	0.61
Backmarkers (11+)	24	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	456	49	26.8%	10.7%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	57	30	16.4%	52.6%	0.87
Pop ($2–5)	367	99	54.1%	27%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	333	37	20.2%	11.1%	0.82
Roughie (>$10)	801	17	9.3%	2.1%	0.51

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.