Warwick Farm

Soft 5Rail: +5m 1000m- Winning post, +3m Remainder—12:50–16:20

Meeting overview

Warwick Farm in NSW hosts a metro meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +5m 1000m- Winning post, +3m Remainder. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:50 to 16:20.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 4 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Hyland Race Colours Hcp.

What history says

Over 171 races from 2025-05-07 to 2026-06-03, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, running above market expectation (2.18 A/E, 8.6% strike rate).

Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott has 4 runners and a 28.8% local strike rate from 73 runs (1.29 A/E) and Jockey Nash Rawiller has 4 runners and a 25.7% local strike rate from 70 runs (1.25 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Warwick Farm

171 races · 1454 runners · since 2025-05-07

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JAndrew Adkins3 todayA/E 2.29TC E Conners2 todayA/E 1.71JWilliam A Stanley3 todayA/E 1.61TG Waterhouse & A Bott4 todayA/E 1.29JNash Rawiller4 todayA/E 1.25JDylan Gibbons7 todayA/E 1.18JAdam Hyeronimus2 todayA/E 1.10JTim Clark3 todayA/E 1.06

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	640	81	47.4%	12.7%	0.81
Middle (5–9)	673	80	46.8%	11.9%	0.93
Wide (10+)	141	10	5.8%	7.1%	0.58

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	506	82	48%	16.2%	0.91
On-pace (4–6)	497	60	35.1%	12.1%	0.82
Midfield (7–10)	394	24	14%	6.1%	0.65
Backmarkers (11+)	35	3	1.8%	8.6%	2.18
Unknown	22	2	1.2%	9.1%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	32	18	10.5%	56.2%	0.99
Pop ($2–5)	351	89	52%	25.4%	0.87
Mid ($5–10)	373	49	28.7%	13.1%	0.97
Roughie (>$10)	698	15	8.8%	2.1%	0.47

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.