Casino

Heavy 8Rail: True—13:05–16:05

Meeting overview

Casino in NSW hosts a country meeting on Heavy 8. The rail is True. There are 6 races scheduled from 13:05 to 16:05.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,900m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Northern Rivers Concreting (Bm66).

What history says

Over 31 races from 2025-05-03 to 2025-10-25, barrier draw flags middle (5–9) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.48 A/E, 5.4% strike rate).

Trainer M J Dunn has 3 runners and a 36.4% local strike rate from 11 runs (1.14 A/E) off a small winning sample and Jockey Danny Peisley has 3 runners and a 23.1% local strike rate from 13 runs (1.86 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Casino

31 races · 305 runners · since 2025-05-03

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JDanny Peisley3 todayA/E 1.86JBen Looker6 todayA/E 1.37TM J Dunn3 todayA/E 1.14

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	99	13	41.9%	13.1%	0.85
Middle (5–9)	111	6	19.4%	5.4%	0.48
Wide (10+)	95	12	38.7%	12.6%	1.19

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	93	14	45.2%	15.1%	0.82
On-pace (4–6)	92	12	38.7%	13%	1.02
Midfield (7–10)	96	4	12.9%	4.2%	0.53
Backmarkers (11+)	23	1	3.2%	4.3%	0.77
Unknown	1	0	0%	0%	0.00

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	6	3	9.7%	50%	0.86
Pop ($2–5)	59	15	48.4%	25.4%	0.87
Mid ($5–10)	78	8	25.8%	10.3%	0.78
Roughie (>$10)	162	5	16.1%	3.1%	0.73

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.