Ipswich

Soft 5Rail: +4 metres entire course—13:27–16:34

Meeting overview

Ipswich in QLD hosts a provincial meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +4 metres entire course. There are 6 races scheduled from 13:27 to 16:34.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 2,150m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 2 benchmark races, 1 restricted race, and 1 other race. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Great Northern (Bm65).

What history says

Over 397 races from 2025-04-30 to 2026-06-20, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.54 A/E, 3.3% strike rate).

Jockey Brandon Lerena has 3 runners and a 15.3% local strike rate from 98 runs (1.22 A/E) and Trainer Chris & Corey Munce has 4 runners and a 20.8% local strike rate from 130 runs (1.05 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ipswich

397 races · 3768 runners · since 2025-04-30

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TG Heinrich & B Rodgers2 todayA/E 1.92TWilliam Kropp2 todayA/E 1.55JBrandon Lerena3 todayA/E 1.22JAshley Butler4 todayA/E 1.12TChris & Corey Munce4 todayA/E 1.05

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1494	166	41.8%	11.1%	0.75
Middle (5–9)	1652	172	43.3%	10.4%	0.86
Wide (10+)	622	59	14.9%	9.5%	0.98

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	1042	166	41.8%	15.9%	0.97
On-pace (4–6)	1029	109	27.5%	10.6%	0.75
Midfield (7–10)	1001	65	16.4%	6.5%	0.72
Backmarkers (11+)	215	7	1.8%	3.3%	0.54
Unknown	481	50	12.6%	10.4%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	70	35	8.8%	50%	0.83
Pop ($2–5)	807	197	49.6%	24.4%	0.85
Mid ($5–10)	852	94	23.7%	11%	0.81
Roughie (>$10)	2039	71	17.9%	3.5%	0.79

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.