Home Hill

Soft 5Rail: True—14:17–16:43

Meeting overview

Home Hill in QLD hosts a country meeting on Soft 5. The rail is True. There are 5 races scheduled from 14:17 to 16:43.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,460m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 1 benchmark race, 1 restricted race, and 2 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Bogie River Plate.

What history says

Over 19 races from 2025-08-26 to 2026-05-16, settling position flags midfield (7–10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Jockey Aidan Holt has 4 runners and a 25.0% local strike rate from 16 runs (1.10 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Home Hill

19 races · 153 runners · since 2025-08-26

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JAidan Holt4 todayA/E 1.10

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	73	10	52.6%	13.7%	0.84
Middle (5–9)	67	8	42.1%	11.9%	0.78
Wide (10+)	13	1	5.3%	7.7%	0.93

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	48	12	63.2%	25%	1.08
On-pace (4–6)	47	4	21.1%	8.5%	0.60
Midfield (7–10)	26	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	32	3	15.8%	9.4%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	6	4	21.1%	66.7%	1.28
Pop ($2–5)	37	11	57.9%	29.7%	0.97
Mid ($5–10)	40	2	10.5%	5%	0.37
Roughie (>$10)	70	2	10.5%	2.9%	0.59

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.