HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Saturday 27 June 2026NSW

Rosehill

Soft 6Rail: +6m Entire—11:00–16:30

Meeting overview

Rosehill in NSW hosts a metro meeting on Soft 6. The rail is +6m Entire. There are 10 races scheduled from 11:00 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 2,400m across the card. The class mix is 8 benchmark races and 2 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is TAB W J McKell Cup.

What history says

Over 254 races from 2025-05-31 to 2026-06-13, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.56 A/E, 3.1% strike rate).

Jockey Adam Hyeronimus has 5 runners and a 16.5% local strike rate from 85 runs (1.36 A/E) and Trainer Bjorn Baker has 8 runners and a 16.5% local strike rate from 115 runs (1.15 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Rosehill

254 races · 2586 runners · since 2025-05-31

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs K Buchanan2 todayA/E 2.03TR P Northam2 todayA/E 1.73TM J Dunn2 todayA/E 1.69JAdam Hyeronimus5 todayA/E 1.36JMollie Fitzgerald6 todayA/E 1.27TG Portelli4 todayA/E 1.27JAaron Bullock5 todayA/E 1.25TBjorn Baker8 todayA/E 1.15TM Price & M Kent Jnr2 todayA/E 1.11TJoseph Pride3 todayA/E 1.09JAlysha Collett7 todayA/E 1.08TMatthew Smith3 todayA/E 1.08JReece Jones5 todayA/E 1.07TAnnabel & Rob Archibald9 todayA/E 1.05JTom Sherry6 todayA/E 1.04

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)95211444.9%12%0.87
Middle (5–9)105010139.8%9.6%0.81
Wide (10+)5843915.4%6.7%0.82

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)75812248%16.1%1.08
On-pace (4–6)7507027.6%9.3%0.71
Midfield (7–10)7505120.1%6.8%0.72
Backmarkers (11+)318103.9%3.1%0.56
Unknown1010.4%10%0.67

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)32145.5%43.8%0.76
Pop ($2–5)48912248%24.9%0.89
Mid ($5–10)6116927.2%11.3%0.83
Roughie (>$10)14544919.3%3.4%0.78

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.