Dubbo

Heavy 8Rail: +3m 900-400 True Remainder—11:55–16:35

Meeting overview

Dubbo in NSW hosts a country meeting on Heavy 8. The rail is +3m 900-400 True Remainder. There are 8 races scheduled from 11:55 to 16:35.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 5 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is One More Event (Bm82).

What history says

Over 140 races from 2025-05-04 to 2026-06-05, settling position flags midfield (7–10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.43 A/E, 4.3% strike rate).

Jockey Jacob Stiff has 6 runners and a 13.9% local strike rate from 72 runs (1.05 A/E) and Trainer C Lundholm has 6 runners and a 12.5% local strike rate from 72 runs (1.03 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Dubbo

140 races · 1442 runners · since 2025-05-04

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TG D Lunn2 todayA/E 1.55TDar Lunn3 todayA/E 1.43TMs G Williams4 todayA/E 1.31TR P Northam2 todayA/E 1.25TMs J Clement5 todayA/E 1.22TKylie Kennedy2 todayA/E 1.18JJenny Duggan2 todayA/E 1.08TM D Griffith2 todayA/E 1.06JJacob Stiff6 todayA/E 1.05TC Lundholm6 todayA/E 1.03

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	542	56	39.7%	10.3%	0.79
Middle (5–9)	606	55	39%	9.1%	0.75
Wide (10+)	294	30	21.3%	10.2%	1.17

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	316	49	34.8%	15.5%	0.98
On-pace (4–6)	280	33	23.4%	11.8%	0.98
Midfield (7–10)	278	12	8.5%	4.3%	0.43
Backmarkers (11+)	82	3	2.1%	3.7%	0.50
Unknown	486	44	31.2%	9.1%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	33	17	12.1%	51.5%	0.87
Pop ($2–5)	267	69	48.9%	25.8%	0.92
Mid ($5–10)	314	34	24.1%	10.8%	0.79
Roughie (>$10)	828	21	14.9%	2.5%	0.64

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.