Townsville

Soft 5Rail: +4m 1000-W/Post; +2.0m Remainder.—12:25–16:25

Meeting overview

Townsville in QLD hosts a country meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +4m 1000-W/Post; +2.0m Remainder.. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:25 to 16:25.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,609m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 2 benchmark races, 1 restricted race, and 2 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Belle Property Hcp.

What history says

Over 268 races from 2025-05-06 to 2026-06-22, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.31 A/E, 2.1% strike rate).

Trainer Graham R Hughes has 4 runners and a 10.6% local strike rate from 160 runs (1.34 A/E) and Trainer Matthew McGuire has 7 runners and a 14.7% local strike rate from 102 runs (1.13 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Townsville

268 races · 2725 runners · since 2025-05-06

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs J Hassett2 todayA/E 1.44TGraham R Hughes4 todayA/E 1.34TTerry McGovern2 todayA/E 1.25TMatthew McGuire7 todayA/E 1.13JChelsea Jokic5 todayA/E 1.09TTracy Simmons2 todayA/E 1.06

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1041	109	40.5%	10.5%	0.75
Middle (5–9)	1187	126	46.8%	10.6%	0.93
Wide (10+)	497	34	12.6%	6.8%	0.73

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	662	106	39.4%	16%	1.00
On-pace (4–6)	656	68	25.3%	10.4%	0.80
Midfield (7–10)	675	43	16%	6.4%	0.70
Backmarkers (11+)	239	5	1.9%	2.1%	0.31
Unknown	493	47	17.5%	9.5%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	68	38	14.1%	55.9%	0.94
Pop ($2–5)	505	133	49.4%	26.3%	0.92
Mid ($5–10)	613	61	22.7%	10%	0.74
Roughie (>$10)	1539	37	13.8%	2.4%	0.61

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.