HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Monday 29 June 2026VIC

Pakenham Synthetic

Synthetic 3Rail: True Entire Circuit—12:30–16:30

Meeting overview

Pakenham Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Synthetic 3. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 9 races scheduled from 12:30 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 5 maidens and 4 benchmark races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Race Day Medical (Bm70).

What history says

Over 98 races from 2025-06-02 to 2026-06-22, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.62 A/E, 3.3% strike rate).

Trainer Reece Goodwin has 5 runners and a 22.2% local strike rate from 45 runs (1.37 A/E) and Trainer G Eurell has 4 runners and a 30.0% local strike rate from 30 runs (2.43 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Pakenham Synthetic

98 races · 1015 runners · since 2025-06-02

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JTeodore Nugent3 todayA/E 3.08TG Eurell4 todayA/E 2.43JCraig Newitt3 todayA/E 1.85JPatrick Moloney5 todayA/E 1.67JJamie Mott4 todayA/E 1.60TReece Goodwin5 todayA/E 1.37JBilly Egan4 todayA/E 1.36TA & S Freedman3 todayA/E 1.26TG M Begg2 todayA/E 1.12TCharlotte Littlefield2 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3372828.6%8.3%0.65
Middle (5–9)4134849%11.6%0.99
Wide (10+)2652222.4%8.3%0.82

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1982626.5%13.1%0.86
On-pace (4–6)1961919.4%9.7%0.75
Midfield (7–10)2331919.4%8.2%0.89
Backmarkers (11+)6122%3.3%0.62
Unknown3273232.7%9.8%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1988.2%42.1%0.72
Pop ($2–5)1844141.8%22.3%0.78
Mid ($5–10)2283232.7%14%1.03
Roughie (>$10)5841717.3%2.9%0.71

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.