Arawa Park

Heavy 10Rail: True—09:45–13:54

Meeting overview

Arawa Park in NZ hosts a provincial meeting on Heavy 10. The rail is True. There are 8 races scheduled from 09:45 to 13:54.

The card

Distances run from 1,215m to 1,560m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 1 restricted race. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is AT Cook Contracting (Bm75).

What history says

Over 79 races from 2025-05-10 to 2026-05-09, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, running above market expectation (1.61 A/E, 12.1% strike rate).

Trainer S B Marsh has 4 runners and a 14.5% local strike rate from 62 runs (1.03 A/E) and Trainer L O'sullivan & A Scott has 3 runners and a 16.2% local strike rate from 37 runs (1.02 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Arawa Park

79 races · 813 runners · since 2025-05-10

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JLynsey Satherley5 todayA/E 2.20JJoe Nishizuka2 todayA/E 1.39JAshlee Strawbridge4 todayA/E 1.37TK T Myers6 todayA/E 1.36JSam McNab6 todayA/E 1.25JHayley Hassman7 todayA/E 1.14TS B Marsh4 todayA/E 1.03TL O'sullivan & A Scott3 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	294	33	41.8%	11.2%	0.91
Middle (5–9)	352	31	39.2%	8.8%	0.77
Wide (10+)	167	15	19%	9%	0.86

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	72	9	11.4%	12.5%	0.90
On-pace (4–6)	72	4	5.1%	5.6%	0.51
Midfield (7–10)	87	7	8.9%	8%	0.84
Backmarkers (11+)	33	4	5.1%	12.1%	1.61
Unknown	549	55	69.6%	10%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	4	1	1.3%	25%	0.45
Pop ($2–5)	122	34	43%	27.9%	0.98
Mid ($5–10)	234	24	30.4%	10.3%	0.71
Roughie (>$10)	453	20	25.3%	4.4%	0.86

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.