Belmont Park

Heavy 8Rail: +14m Entire—15:04–18:46

Meeting overview

Belmont Park in WA hosts a metro meeting on Heavy 8. The rail is +14m Entire. There are 7 races scheduled from 15:04 to 18:46.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,650m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens and 4 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Lawn Pride Australia (Rs0ly).

What history says

Over 322 races from 2025-05-17 to 2026-06-27, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.64 A/E, 2.6% strike rate).

Jockey Holly Watson has 3 runners and a 13.1% local strike rate from 107 runs (1.35 A/E) and Trainer Simon Miller has 2 runners and a 18.1% local strike rate from 116 runs (1.07 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Belmont Park

322 races · 3447 runners · since 2025-05-17

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TC & M Gangemi2 todayA/E 1.43JHolly Watson3 todayA/E 1.35JBrayden Gaerth2 todayA/E 1.25TMitchell Pateman3 todayA/E 1.20TSimon Miller2 todayA/E 1.07JNatasha Faithfull5 todayA/E 1.05TG C Ballantyne4 todayA/E 1.04

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1273	129	39.8%	10.1%	0.79
Middle (5–9)	1473	143	44.1%	9.7%	0.85
Wide (10+)	701	52	16%	7.4%	0.90

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	963	106	32.7%	11%	0.78
On-pace (4–6)	956	105	32.4%	11%	0.90
Midfield (7–10)	1070	91	28.1%	8.5%	0.86
Backmarkers (11+)	439	21	6.5%	4.8%	0.70
Unknown	19	1	0.3%	5.3%	0.77

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	76	42	13%	55.3%	0.93
Pop ($2–5)	562	150	46.3%	26.7%	0.91
Mid ($5–10)	712	77	23.8%	10.8%	0.81
Roughie (>$10)	2094	55	17%	2.6%	0.64

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.