Belmont Park

Heavy 8Rail: +14m Entire15:0418:46

Meeting overview

Belmont Park in WA hosts a metro meeting on Heavy 8. The rail is +14m Entire. There are 7 races scheduled from 15:04 to 18:46.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,650m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens and 4 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Lawn Pride Australia (Rs0ly).

What history says

Over 322 races from 2025-05-17 to 2026-06-27, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.64 A/E, 2.6% strike rate).

Jockey Holly Watson has 3 runners and a 13.1% local strike rate from 107 runs (1.35 A/E) and Trainer Simon Miller has 2 runners and a 18.1% local strike rate from 116 runs (1.07 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Belmont Park

322 races · 3447 runners · since 2025-05-17

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TC & M Gangemi2 todayA/E 1.43JHolly Watson3 todayA/E 1.35JBrayden Gaerth2 todayA/E 1.25TMitchell Pateman3 todayA/E 1.20TSimon Miller2 todayA/E 1.07JNatasha Faithfull5 todayA/E 1.05TG C Ballantyne4 todayA/E 1.04

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)127312939.8%10.1%0.79
Middle (5–9)147314344.1%9.7%0.85
Wide (10+)7015216%7.4%0.90

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)96310632.7%11%0.78
On-pace (4–6)95610532.4%11%0.90
Midfield (7–10)10709128.1%8.5%0.86
Backmarkers (11+)439216.5%4.8%0.70
Unknown1910.3%5.3%0.77

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)764213%55.3%0.93
Pop ($2–5)56215046.3%26.7%0.91
Mid ($5–10)7127723.8%10.8%0.81
Roughie (>$10)20945517%2.6%0.64

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.