Eagle Farm

Soft 5Rail: 9m—12:33–16:35

Meeting overview

Eagle Farm in QLD hosts a metro meeting on Soft 5. The rail is 9m. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:33 to 16:35.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,800m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Ladbrokes Mates Mode (Bm78).

What history says

Over 404 races from 2025-05-03 to 2026-06-27, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.59 A/E, 3.6% strike rate).

Jockey Jake Bayliss has 6 runners and a 8.5% local strike rate from 117 runs (1.11 A/E) and Trainer S W Kendrick has 5 runners and a 9.6% local strike rate from 83 runs (1.07 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Eagle Farm

404 races · 4065 runners · since 2025-05-03

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JJai Williams2 todayA/E 1.42TG A Thornton2 todayA/E 1.40JJasper Franklin3 todayA/E 1.24JJake Bayliss6 todayA/E 1.11JTaylor Marshall2 todayA/E 1.07TS W Kendrick5 todayA/E 1.07

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1546	189	46.8%	12.2%	0.87
Middle (5–9)	1715	160	39.6%	9.3%	0.81
Wide (10+)	804	55	13.6%	6.8%	0.78

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	1145	154	38.1%	13.4%	0.90
On-pace (4–6)	1132	121	30%	10.7%	0.80
Midfield (7–10)	1145	92	22.8%	8%	0.84
Backmarkers (11+)	412	15	3.7%	3.6%	0.59
Unknown	231	22	5.4%	9.5%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	60	34	8.4%	56.7%	0.96
Pop ($2–5)	793	189	46.8%	23.8%	0.82
Mid ($5–10)	891	100	24.8%	11.2%	0.84
Roughie (>$10)	2321	81	20%	3.5%	0.80

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.