Ashburton

Heavy 8Rail: Out 3m—09:42–14:18

Meeting overview

Ashburton in NZ hosts a provincial meeting on Heavy 8. The rail is Out 3m. There are 9 races scheduled from 09:42 to 14:18.

The card

Distances run from 1,200m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 5 benchmark races, and 3 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Dunstan Horsefeed Hcp.

What history says

Over 81 races from 2025-07-03 to 2026-04-16, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Trainer L M Robinson has 2 runners and a 19.1% local strike rate from 47 runs (1.39 A/E) and Trainer Anna Furlong has 4 runners and a 29.4% local strike rate from 34 runs (1.48 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ashburton

81 races · 956 runners · since 2025-07-03

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TB & S Anderton2 todayA/E 3.15TMs L Prendergast2 todayA/E 2.18TMs S Faulkner3 todayA/E 2.12JCorey Campbell3 todayA/E 1.97TAnna Furlong4 todayA/E 1.48JBilly Jacobson3 todayA/E 1.47TL M Robinson2 todayA/E 1.39JYogesh Atchamah4 todayA/E 1.38JKendra Bakker6 todayA/E 1.30TH B Tapper2 todayA/E 1.29

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	313	25	30.9%	8%	0.75
Middle (5–9)	387	37	45.7%	9.6%	0.89
Wide (10+)	256	19	23.5%	7.4%	0.89

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	55	6	7.4%	10.9%	1.00
On-pace (4–6)	54	4	4.9%	7.4%	0.69
Midfield (7–10)	71	8	9.9%	11.3%	0.99
Backmarkers (11+)	37	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	739	63	77.8%	8.5%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	5	4	4.9%	80%	1.34
Pop ($2–5)	115	29	35.8%	25.2%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	234	31	38.3%	13.2%	0.94
Roughie (>$10)	602	17	21%	2.8%	0.59

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.