HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Thursday 2 July 2026VIC

Ballarat Synthetic

Synthetic 3Rail: True Entire Circuit—13:00–16:30

Meeting overview

Ballarat Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Synthetic 3. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 8 races scheduled from 13:00 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,100m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Sportsbet Fast Form (Bm70).

What history says

Over 177 races from 2025-05-22 to 2026-06-30, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.26 A/E, 1.3% strike rate).

Jockey Cian Macredmond has 6 runners and a 11.0% local strike rate from 91 runs (1.37 A/E) and Trainer T & C McEvoy has 2 runners and a 37.0% local strike rate from 54 runs (1.09 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ballarat Synthetic

177 races · 1601 runners · since 2025-05-22

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TAnn-Jeanette Tindale2 todayA/E 4.19TChris Calthorpe4 todayA/E 3.07JZac Moore3 todayA/E 1.63JCraig Atkinson2 todayA/E 1.48JFred W Kersley2 todayA/E 1.44JCian Macredmond6 todayA/E 1.37JJack Hill2 todayA/E 1.23TT & C McEvoy2 todayA/E 1.09TRobert Hickmott2 todayA/E 1.08JLachlan King2 todayA/E 1.03

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)6277743.5%12.3%0.84
Middle (5–9)6987441.8%10.6%0.82
Wide (10+)2762614.7%9.4%0.85

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)4748145.8%17.1%0.93
On-pace (4–6)4595128.8%11.1%0.81
Midfield (7–10)3992514.1%6.3%0.72
Backmarkers (11+)7710.6%1.3%0.26
Unknown1921910.7%9.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)613922%63.9%1.03
Pop ($2–5)3197743.5%24.1%0.82
Mid ($5–10)3313720.9%11.2%0.82
Roughie (>$10)8902413.6%2.7%0.69

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.