Hawkesbury

Soft 7Rail: +4m 1100m - 450m, True remainder—12:15–16:25

Meeting overview

Hawkesbury in NSW hosts a provincial meeting on Soft 7. The rail is +4m 1100m - 450m, True remainder. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:15 to 16:25.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 2 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Clarendon Tavern Conditional (Bm68).

What history says

Over 231 races from 2025-05-03 to 2026-06-23, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.42 A/E, 2.7% strike rate).

Jockey Mitchell Bell has 4 runners and a 19.6% local strike rate from 51 runs (1.12 A/E) and Trainer Jason Attard has 2 runners and a 24.3% local strike rate from 37 runs (1.87 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Hawkesbury

231 races · 2032 runners · since 2025-05-03

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TM & D Kearney3 todayA/E 2.21TJason Attard2 todayA/E 1.87TMs K Outtrim2 todayA/E 1.44JBraith Nock3 todayA/E 1.36JOlivia Chambers3 todayA/E 1.32TPeter Snowden2 todayA/E 1.26JJean Van Overmeire2 todayA/E 1.22TClaire Lever2 todayA/E 1.17JShannen Llewellyn2 todayA/E 1.16JAdam Hyeronimus2 todayA/E 1.14JMitchell Bell4 todayA/E 1.12TG Portelli2 todayA/E 1.11JTom Sherry2 todayA/E 1.08TJoseph Pride2 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	857	110	47.6%	12.8%	0.87
Middle (5–9)	918	102	44.2%	11.1%	0.81
Wide (10+)	257	19	8.2%	7.4%	0.74

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	606	112	48.5%	18.5%	1.05
On-pace (4–6)	599	63	27.3%	10.5%	0.74
Midfield (7–10)	501	25	10.8%	5%	0.54
Backmarkers (11+)	73	2	0.9%	2.7%	0.42
Unknown	253	29	12.6%	11.5%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	77	48	20.8%	62.3%	1.01
Pop ($2–5)	425	104	45%	24.5%	0.84
Mid ($5–10)	445	49	21.2%	11%	0.81
Roughie (>$10)	1085	30	13%	2.8%	0.65

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.