Mackay

Soft 5Rail: +3m Entire—13:10–16:10

Meeting overview

Mackay in QLD hosts a country meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +3m Entire. There are 6 races scheduled from 13:10 to 16:10.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,560m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 1 benchmark race, 1 restricted race, and 3 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Bob Symons Hcp.

What history says

Over 198 races from 2025-05-01 to 2026-06-23, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Trainer Lachie Manzelmann has 12 runners and a 10.5% local strike rate from 200 runs (1.25 A/E) and Jockey Tahlia Fenlon has 6 runners and a 14.9% local strike rate from 94 runs (1.12 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Mackay

198 races · 1690 runners · since 2025-05-01

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TToni Schofield2 todayA/E 1.51JAidan Holt2 todayA/E 1.41TLachie Manzelmann12 todayA/E 1.25TJennifer Hatfield2 todayA/E 1.21JTahlia Fenlon6 todayA/E 1.12

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	754	103	52%	13.7%	0.84
Middle (5–9)	747	79	39.9%	10.6%	0.80
Wide (10+)	189	16	8.1%	8.5%	0.85

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	446	83	41.9%	18.6%	0.94
On-pace (4–6)	433	46	23.2%	10.6%	0.79
Midfield (7–10)	323	20	10.1%	6.2%	0.62
Backmarkers (11+)	31	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	457	49	24.7%	10.7%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	61	32	16.2%	52.5%	0.86
Pop ($2–5)	395	104	52.5%	26.3%	0.88
Mid ($5–10)	360	42	21.2%	11.7%	0.86
Roughie (>$10)	874	20	10.1%	2.3%	0.55

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.