Carnarvon

DirtRail: True—16:45–19:16

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Carnarvon in WA hosts a country meeting on Dirt. The rail is True. There are 6 races scheduled from 16:45 to 19:16.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden and 5 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Mallard Contracting (Bm64+).

What history says

Over 86 races from 2025-05-17 to 2026-06-26, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.50 A/E, 4.1% strike rate).

Jockey Sharni Webster has 6 runners and a 14.0% local strike rate from 57 runs (1.22 A/E) and Trainer Jacquelyn Scott has 8 runners and a 10.3% local strike rate from 68 runs (1.45 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Carnarvon

86 races · 828 runners · since 2025-05-17

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TJacquelyn Scott8 todayA/E 1.45JNatika Riordan5 todayA/E 1.36JMadi Derrick6 todayA/E 1.24JSharni Webster6 todayA/E 1.22JBailey Webster5 todayA/E 1.12

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	336	38	44.2%	11.3%	0.89
Middle (5–9)	381	40	46.5%	10.5%	0.78
Wide (10+)	111	8	9.3%	7.2%	0.73

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	258	43	50%	16.7%	1.06
On-pace (4–6)	253	26	30.2%	10.3%	0.76
Midfield (7–10)	266	15	17.4%	5.6%	0.58
Backmarkers (11+)	49	2	2.3%	4.1%	0.50
Unknown	2	0	0%	0%	0.00

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	14	11	12.8%	78.6%	1.39
Pop ($2–5)	183	42	48.8%	23%	0.82
Mid ($5–10)	199	21	24.4%	10.6%	0.80
Roughie (>$10)	432	12	14%	2.8%	0.62

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.