Geelong

TurfRail: Out 9m 1700m - 800m, Out 10m Remainder12:3016:30

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Geelong in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Turf. The rail is Out 9m 1700m - 800m, Out 10m Remainder. There are 9 races scheduled from 12:30 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,243m to 2,465m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens and 6 benchmark races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Steadfast Life (Bm64).

What history says

Over 238 races from 2025-05-09 to 2026-06-19, settling position flags on-pace (4–6) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.67 A/E, 9.2% strike rate).

Jockey Luke Currie has 2 runners and a 21.7% local strike rate from 46 runs (1.37 A/E) and Jockey Lachlan Neindorf has 4 runners and a 23.1% local strike rate from 39 runs (1.28 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Geelong

238 races · 2353 runners · since 2025-05-09

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JBailey Kinninmont3 todayA/E 2.84TR D Griffiths3 todayA/E 2.33JJoe Bowditch2 todayA/E 1.91JRyan Hurdle2 todayA/E 1.67TL & T Corstens & W Larkin2 todayA/E 1.67TM J Williams2 todayA/E 1.54JLuke Currie2 todayA/E 1.37TMitchell Freedman2 todayA/E 1.29JLachlan Neindorf4 todayA/E 1.28JJack Hill3 todayA/E 1.27JNeil Farley5 todayA/E 1.26TSymon Wilde6 todayA/E 1.24TChris Calthorpe2 todayA/E 1.20JPatrick Moloney3 todayA/E 1.17TAndrew Noblet2 todayA/E 1.14JJett Stanley2 todayA/E 1.08

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)9179740.8%10.6%0.76
Middle (5–9)101411347.5%11.1%0.91
Wide (10+)4222811.8%6.6%0.77

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)67511046.2%16.3%1.05
On-pace (4–6)6726226.1%9.2%0.67
Midfield (7–10)6854719.7%6.9%0.72
Backmarkers (11+)17262.5%3.5%0.68
Unknown149135.5%8.7%0.80

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)36177.1%47.2%0.79
Pop ($2–5)48712753.4%26.1%0.91
Mid ($5–10)5235723.9%10.9%0.80
Roughie (>$10)13073715.5%2.8%0.67

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.