Belmont Park

TurfRail: +8m Entire—14:48–19:01

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:11 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Belmont Park in WA hosts a metro meeting on Turf. The rail is +8m Entire. There are 8 races scheduled from 14:48 to 19:01.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 8 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Beaufine Stakes.

What history says

Over 345 races from 2025-05-17 to 2026-07-08, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.65 A/E, 4.4% strike rate).

Jockey Holly Watson has 5 runners and a 12.6% local strike rate from 119 runs (1.35 A/E) and Jockey Troy Turner has 2 runners and a 7.5% local strike rate from 134 runs (1.09 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Belmont Park

345 races · 3710 runners · since 2025-05-17

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JJason Brown2 todayA/E 1.62JHolly Watson5 todayA/E 1.35TJ P Taylor3 todayA/E 1.31TC & M Gangemi4 todayA/E 1.30JBrayden Gaerth3 todayA/E 1.22TC R Green2 todayA/E 1.15TMitchell Pateman4 todayA/E 1.10JTroy Turner2 todayA/E 1.09TSimon Miller9 todayA/E 1.09

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1365	134	38.6%	9.8%	0.77
Middle (5–9)	1587	156	45%	9.8%	0.86
Wide (10+)	758	57	16.4%	7.5%	0.91

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	1032	111	32%	10.8%	0.77
On-pace (4–6)	1025	111	32%	10.8%	0.89
Midfield (7–10)	1154	103	29.7%	8.9%	0.89
Backmarkers (11+)	480	21	6.1%	4.4%	0.65
Unknown	19	1	0.3%	5.3%	0.77

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	80	43	12.4%	53.8%	0.91
Pop ($2–5)	599	161	46.4%	26.9%	0.91
Mid ($5–10)	766	83	23.9%	10.8%	0.81
Roughie (>$10)	2262	60	17.3%	2.7%	0.65

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.