Donald

TurfRail: Out 3m Entire Circuit—12:51–16:31

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:11 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Donald in VIC hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is Out 3m Entire Circuit. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:51 to 16:31.

The card

Distances run from 1,006m to 2,218m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 1 benchmark race, and 3 restricted races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Happy Birthday Darren Browell (Bm56).

What history says

Over 71 races from 2025-05-03 to 2026-06-20, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.41 A/E, 1.6% strike rate).

Trainer Andrew Bobbin has 5 runners and a 16.7% local strike rate from 24 runs (1.61 A/E) off a small winning sample and Jockey Alana Kelly has 7 runners and a 9.1% local strike rate from 22 runs (1.28 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Donald

71 races · 757 runners · since 2025-05-03

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JLogan McNeil2 todayA/E 1.74TAndrew Bobbin5 todayA/E 1.61JAlana Kelly7 todayA/E 1.28JJake Duffy4 todayA/E 1.07JChristine Puls3 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	263	23	32.4%	8.7%	0.67
Middle (5–9)	316	34	47.9%	10.8%	0.92
Wide (10+)	178	14	19.7%	7.9%	0.88

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	213	32	45.1%	15%	0.92
On-pace (4–6)	211	16	22.5%	7.6%	0.64
Midfield (7–10)	248	18	25.4%	7.3%	0.81
Backmarkers (11+)	84	5	7%	6%	0.97
Unknown	1	0	0%	0%	0.00

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	13	7	9.9%	53.8%	0.96
Pop ($2–5)	145	39	54.9%	26.9%	0.95
Mid ($5–10)	160	18	25.4%	11.2%	0.84
Roughie (>$10)	439	7	9.9%	1.6%	0.41

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.