Ruakaka

—Rail: True—09:55–14:00

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:11 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Ruakaka in NZ hosts a provincial meeting on —. The rail is True. There are 8 races scheduled from 09:55 to 14:00.

The card

Distances run from 1,200m to 2,100m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is ITM/GIB Whangarei Gold Cup Race.

What history says

Over 47 races from 2025-06-28 to 2026-01-06, settling position flags midfield (7–10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.38 A/E, 3.8% strike rate).

Trainer S Ritchie & C Murray has 2 runners and a 42.9% local strike rate from 14 runs (1.94 A/E) and Trainer Ms M L Bradley has 6 runners and a 19.0% local strike rate from 21 runs (1.57 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ruakaka

47 races · 475 runners · since 2025-06-28

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TS Ritchie & C Murray2 todayA/E 1.94JA Lawson-Carroll4 todayA/E 1.59TMs M L Bradley6 todayA/E 1.57JJack Taplin7 todayA/E 1.34

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	175	20	42.6%	11.4%	0.83
Middle (5–9)	195	23	48.9%	11.8%	1.02
Wide (10+)	105	4	8.5%	3.8%	0.41

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	69	13	27.7%	18.8%	1.45
On-pace (4–6)	69	5	10.6%	7.2%	0.54
Midfield (7–10)	78	3	6.4%	3.8%	0.38
Backmarkers (11+)	23	2	4.3%	8.7%	1.48
Unknown	236	24	51.1%	10.2%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	3	1	2.1%	33.3%	0.53
Pop ($2–5)	81	22	46.8%	27.2%	0.96
Mid ($5–10)	123	16	34%	13%	0.89
Roughie (>$10)	268	8	17%	3%	0.60

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.