Ballarat

TurfRail: True Entire Circuit—12:00–16:40

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Ballarat in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Turf. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:00 to 16:40.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Evergreen Turf (Bm66).

What history says

Over 162 races from 2025-05-11 to 2026-06-12, market (sp) flags odds-on (≤$2) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.52 A/E, 29.7% strike rate).

Trainer C Maher has 4 runners and a 17.3% local strike rate from 75 runs (1.13 A/E) and Jockey Luke Currie has 5 runners and a 26.5% local strike rate from 49 runs (1.47 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ballarat

162 races · 1564 runners · since 2025-05-11

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMitchell Freedman5 todayA/E 2.00TMs M Cunningham2 todayA/E 1.60TArchie Alexander2 todayA/E 1.54JJett Stanley3 todayA/E 1.48JLuke Currie5 todayA/E 1.47JJake Noonan3 todayA/E 1.13TC Maher4 todayA/E 1.13JFred W Kersley2 todayA/E 1.03TMark & Levi Kavanagh3 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	631	61	37.7%	9.7%	0.72
Middle (5–9)	700	83	51.2%	11.9%	0.93
Wide (10+)	233	18	11.1%	7.7%	0.80

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	483	66	40.7%	13.7%	0.89
On-pace (4–6)	480	59	36.4%	12.3%	0.89
Midfield (7–10)	471	30	18.5%	6.4%	0.63
Backmarkers (11+)	115	6	3.7%	5.2%	0.85
Unknown	15	1	0.6%	6.7%	0.69

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	37	11	6.8%	29.7%	0.52
Pop ($2–5)	317	84	51.9%	26.5%	0.93
Mid ($5–10)	364	39	24.1%	10.7%	0.79
Roughie (>$10)	846	28	17.3%	3.3%	0.79

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.