Grafton

TurfRail: + 3m entire—12:20–16:20

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Grafton in NSW hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is + 3m entire. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:20 to 16:20.

The card

Distances run from 1,006m to 2,220m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 1 benchmark race, and 4 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Grafton Toyota *big Dance Eligiblity South Grafton Qlty Cup.

What history says

Over 209 races from 2025-05-09 to 2026-07-05, settling position flags midfield (7–10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.43 A/E, 3.7% strike rate).

Trainer Shane Everson has 2 runners and a 16.2% local strike rate from 68 runs (1.81 A/E) and Trainer A Parramore has 3 runners and a 24.0% local strike rate from 25 runs (1.64 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Grafton

209 races · 2150 runners · since 2025-05-09

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TL J Clapham4 todayA/E 1.92TShane Everson2 todayA/E 1.81JKarl Zechner2 todayA/E 1.80JBailie Baker2 todayA/E 1.77TA Parramore3 todayA/E 1.64TAiden St Vincent3 todayA/E 1.35TMs V McLennan2 todayA/E 1.24TN Mayfield-Smith2 todayA/E 1.19TMs L Sheppard2 todayA/E 1.07JOlivia Dalton2 todayA/E 1.06

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	782	84	40.2%	10.7%	0.79
Middle (5–9)	913	96	45.9%	10.5%	0.90
Wide (10+)	455	29	13.9%	6.4%	0.73

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	561	107	51.2%	19.1%	1.11
On-pace (4–6)	559	52	24.9%	9.3%	0.79
Midfield (7–10)	614	23	11%	3.7%	0.43
Backmarkers (11+)	166	5	2.4%	3%	0.45
Unknown	250	22	10.5%	8.8%	0.83

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	36	22	10.5%	61.1%	1.00
Pop ($2–5)	409	96	45.9%	23.5%	0.82
Mid ($5–10)	473	53	25.4%	11.2%	0.82
Roughie (>$10)	1232	38	18.2%	3.1%	0.78

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.