Tauranga

—Rail: Out 10m—10:49–13:51

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Tauranga in NZ hosts a provincial meeting on —. The rail is Out 10m. There are 6 races scheduled from 10:49 to 13:51.

The card

Distances run from 1,200m to 2,100m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens and 2 restricted races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Super Liquor Greerton Hcp (60).

What history says

Over 102 races from 2025-05-28 to 2026-06-27, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.31 A/E, 2.1% strike rate).

Jockey Craig Grylls has 5 runners and a 26.7% local strike rate from 45 runs (1.61 A/E) and Trainer Ms D Logan has 3 runners and a 23.5% local strike rate from 17 runs (2.67 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Tauranga

102 races · 1071 runners · since 2025-05-28

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs D Logan3 todayA/E 2.67JCraig Grylls5 todayA/E 1.61JErin M Leighton3 todayA/E 1.21

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	384	51	50%	13.3%	1.05
Middle (5–9)	454	36	35.3%	7.9%	0.68
Wide (10+)	233	15	14.7%	6.4%	0.76

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	91	16	15.7%	17.6%	1.19
On-pace (4–6)	89	4	3.9%	4.5%	0.44
Midfield (7–10)	108	9	8.8%	8.3%	0.90
Backmarkers (11+)	47	1	1%	2.1%	0.31
Unknown	736	72	70.6%	9.8%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	15	7	6.9%	46.7%	0.83
Pop ($2–5)	146	36	35.3%	24.7%	0.85
Mid ($5–10)	279	38	37.3%	13.6%	0.97
Roughie (>$10)	630	20	19.6%	3.2%	0.63

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.