Bairnsdale

TurfRail: True Entire Circuit—12:30–16:30

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:21 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Bairnsdale in VIC hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 9 races scheduled from 12:30 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens and 5 benchmark races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Memberships On Sale Now (Bm56).

What history says

Over 49 races from 2025-07-21 to 2026-06-12, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.58 A/E, 3.8% strike rate).

Jockey Craig Newitt has 8 runners and a 20.0% local strike rate from 20 runs (1.61 A/E) off a small winning sample and Jockey Jason Maskiell has 5 runners and a 40.0% local strike rate from 10 runs (1.65 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Bairnsdale

49 races · 545 runners · since 2025-07-21

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TT Kilgower4 todayA/E 1.99JJason Maskiell5 todayA/E 1.65JCraig Newitt8 todayA/E 1.61TPaul & Tracey Templeton3 todayA/E 1.50TBen, Will & Jd Hayes2 todayA/E 1.28

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	180	19	38.8%	10.6%	0.77
Middle (5–9)	214	18	36.7%	8.4%	0.81
Wide (10+)	151	12	24.5%	7.9%	0.93

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	116	19	38.8%	16.4%	1.03
On-pace (4–6)	118	10	20.4%	8.5%	0.71
Midfield (7–10)	134	8	16.3%	6%	0.68
Backmarkers (11+)	52	2	4.1%	3.8%	0.58
Unknown	125	10	20.4%	8%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	11	7	14.3%	63.6%	1.05
Pop ($2–5)	83	21	42.9%	25.3%	0.89
Mid ($5–10)	126	11	22.4%	8.7%	0.66
Roughie (>$10)	325	10	20.4%	3.1%	0.77

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.