What the models are actually backing.
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Thursday, July 2 2026
Consensus
Our key selections. A pick only appears when multiple models that we use agree on the same top selection — the highest-performing signal we publish. We only bet if we can get the Target price (20% above our Fair price) or better. Early prices shown here are a guide only. We reconcile our results only on those selections where the bookmaker SP is above the target price. You should make your own assessment if these selections fit your betting profile and never bet what you aren't prepared to lose. Our models aren't perfect, don't expect our selections to be.$1 win · SP22 plays · 7 early market meets target
Target price = Fair +20%
| R | No. | Horse | Silk | Jockey (90d win%) | Fair | Target | odds@09:00 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:42 | Ashburton(H8) | 1 | 4 | Jack Crabb(7) | Tina Comignaghi15.4% | $4.61 | $5.53 | $2.80 | Race → | |
| 09:58 | Trentham(H10) | 2 | 3 | Affordable(7) | Jay Kozaczek3.3% | $2.47 | $2.96 | $3.10 | Race → | |
| 10:17 | Ashburton(H8) | 2 | 1 | Ifyoustartmeup(1) | Corey Campbell7.8% | $2.91 | $3.49 | $3.20 | Race → | |
| 10:30 | Trentham(H10) | 3 | 1 | Kick On(7) | Kylan Wiles12.5% | $2.73 | $3.28 | $1.80 | Race → | |
| 11:29 | Ashburton(H8) | 4 | 1 | Riviera Rebel(3) | Ashlee Strawbridge6.3% | $3.78 | $4.54 | $3.30 | Race → | |
| 12:02 | Ashburton(H8) | 5 | 4 | Hooray For Harry(7) | Triston Moodley10.9% | $4.41 | $5.29 | $4.40 | Race → | |
| 12:21 | Trentham(H10) | 6 | 1 | Nedwin(8) | Mathew Gillies10% | $4.10 | $4.92 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 13:00 | Ballarat Synthetic(Syn) | 1 | 3 | Pinamilloy(6) | Lachlan Neindorf14.1% | $4.02 | $4.82 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 13:25 | Hawkesbury(S7) | 3 | 9 | Pink Persuasion(3) | Kerrin Mc Evoy12.3% | $2.89 | $3.47 | $1.75 | Race → | |
| 13:30 | Ballarat Synthetic(Syn) | 2 | 1 | Aqua Storm(10) | Jack Hill9.8% | $2.76 | $3.31 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 13:34 | Trentham(H10) | 8 | 2 | Ryders Legacy(6) | Kelly Myers7.8% | $3.72 | $4.46 | $2.65 | Race → | |
| 13:48 | Ashburton(H8) | 8 | 5 | Canasta(5) | Billy Jacobson7.6% | $4.00 | $4.80 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 14:00 | Ballarat Synthetic(Syn) | 3 | 7 | Rookery Nook(6) | John Allen11.7% | $2.46 | $2.95 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 14:08 | Trentham(H10) | 9 | 2 | Bradman(1) | Jim Chung5.3% | $2.40 | $2.88 | $2.90 | Race → | |
| 14:20 | Mackay(S5) | 3 | 1 | Atomic Time(1) | Ashley Butler15.3% | $2.09 | $2.51 | $1.70 | Race → | |
| 14:30 | Ballarat Synthetic(Syn) | 4 | 2 | Finnish Girl(4) | Dylan Dunn9.1% | $2.73 | $3.28 | $7.00 | Race → | |
| 15:00 | Ballarat Synthetic(Syn) | 5 | 5 | Good Harmony(3) | Lachlan Neindorf14.1% | $2.70 | $3.24 | $3.10 | Race → | |
| 15:15 | Hawkesbury(S7) | 6 | 4 | Mind Ya Bizz(4) | Tyler Schiller13.3% | $2.46 | $2.95 | $2.35 | Race → | |
| 15:22 | Pinjarra(S5) | 2 | 7 | American Image(2) | William Pike27% | $2.37 | $2.84 | $1.40 | Race → | |
| 15:35 | Mackay(S5) | 5 | 3 | Aye Vee Aitch(1) | Ryan Wiggins17.4% | $2.06 | $2.47 | $2.35 | Race → | |
| 15:50 | Hawkesbury(S7) | 7 | 3 | Squeezebox(3) | Keagan Latham16.8% | $2.95 | $3.54 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 16:30 | Ballarat Synthetic(Syn) | 8 | 1 | Shooter Mcgavin(1) | Jade Smith7.7% | $3.99 | $4.79 | $4.00 | Race → |