What the models are actually backing.
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Friday, July 10 2026
Consensus
Our key selections. A pick only appears when multiple models that we use agree on the same top selection — the highest-performing signal we publish. We only bet if we can get the Target price (20% above our Fair price) or better. Early prices shown here are a guide only. We reconcile our results only on those selections where the bookmaker SP is above the target price. You should make your own assessment if these selections fit your betting profile and never bet what you aren't prepared to lose. Our models aren't perfect, don't expect our selections to be.$1 win · SP19 plays · 8 early market meets target
Target price = Fair +20%
| R | No. | Horse | Silk | Jockey (90d win%) | Fair | Target | odds@09:00 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:17 | Otaki(H10) | 2 | 1 | Yaldy Time(4) | Craig Grylls19.4% | $3.91 | $4.69 | $1.80 | Race → | |
| 11:45 | Gatton(G4) | 1 | 8 | Talleyrand(11) | Jess Emmerson19.2% | $2.35 | $2.82 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 11:52 | Otaki(H10) | 3 | 1 | Offertory(3) | Toni Davies12.8% | $2.28 | $2.74 | $2.70 | Race → | |
| 12:00 | Moruya(S5) | 1 | 9 | This Ain't Texas(4) | Louise Day6.3% | $1.55 | $1.86 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 12:23 | Gatton(G4) | 2 | 6 | Don't Doubt Sophie(7) | Adin Thompson4.5% | $3.17 | $3.80 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 12:27 | Otaki(H10) | 4 | 1 | Honour Roll(8) | Michael Mc Nab18.1% | $2.25 | $2.70 | $1.85 | Race → | |
| 12:50 | Scone(S7) | 2 | 3 | Home Missile(2) | Mitchell Bell12.3% | $2.62 | $3.14 | $2.45 | Race → | |
| 13:00 | Geelong(H8) | 2 | 2 | Bjorson(7) | Teodore Nugent7.5% | $4.02 | $4.82 | $6.50 | Race → | |
| 13:10 | Moruya(S5) | 3 | 5 | Zougotme(9) | Jean Van Overmeire17.2% | $2.88 | $3.46 | $2.90 | Race → | |
| 14:05 | Scone(S7) | 4 | 13 | Flaunter(9) | Mitchell Bell12.3% | $2.16 | $2.59 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 14:30 | Geelong(H8) | 5 | 4 | Kazungula(7) | Nadia Daniels8.1% | $5.06 | $6.07 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 14:40 | Scone(S7) | 5 | 4 | Maples(1) | Aaron Bullock18.7% | $4.02 | $4.82 | $2.00 | Race → | |
| 14:47 | Gatton(G4) | 6 | 1 | The Louvre(8) | Hayley Saunders6% | $3.85 | $4.62 | $4.60 | Race → | |
| 15:30 | Geelong(H8) | 7 | 1 | Outdrive(6) | Jamie Mott14% | $3.94 | $4.73 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 15:40 | Moruya(S5) | 7 | 1 | Brannum(3) | Chad Lever6.6% | $4.04 | $4.85 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 15:55 | Scone(S7) | 7 | 9 | Tacitly(9) | Mitchell Bell12.3% | $2.68 | $3.22 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 16:00 | Geelong(H8) | 8 | 2 | Prestar(8) | Jamie Mott14% | $2.48 | $2.98 | $2.35 | Race → | |
| 16:35 | Scone(S7) | 8 | 8 | Avista(6) | Aaron Bullock18.7% | $2.87 | $3.44 | $2.40 | Race → | |
| 17:45 | Carnarvon(G3) | 3 | 1 | Aardvark(3) | Kate Pateman5.9% | $2.53 | $3.04 | $2.35 | Race → |