Ballarat Synthetic

Synthetic 3Rail: True Entire Circuit—12:30–16:40

Meeting overview

Ballarat Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Synthetic 3. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:30 to 16:40.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,500m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Manhari (Bm62).

What history says

Over 162 races from 2025-05-22 to 2026-06-24, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Jockey Cian Macredmond has 4 runners and a 9.8% local strike rate from 82 runs (1.34 A/E) and Trainer T & C McEvoy has 2 runners and a 36.5% local strike rate from 52 runs (1.10 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ballarat Synthetic

162 races · 1445 runners · since 2025-05-22

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JWill Gordon5 todayA/E 1.37JCian Macredmond4 todayA/E 1.34JLachlan King3 todayA/E 1.28TT & C McEvoy2 todayA/E 1.10

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	567	72	44.4%	12.7%	0.86
Middle (5–9)	626	65	40.1%	10.4%	0.80
Wide (10+)	252	25	15.4%	9.9%	0.87

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	429	77	47.5%	17.9%	0.96
On-pace (4–6)	414	44	27.2%	10.6%	0.78
Midfield (7–10)	346	22	13.6%	6.4%	0.72
Backmarkers (11+)	64	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	192	19	11.7%	9.9%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	59	39	24.1%	66.1%	1.06
Pop ($2–5)	290	66	40.7%	22.8%	0.77
Mid ($5–10)	299	33	20.4%	11%	0.81
Roughie (>$10)	797	24	14.8%	3%	0.78

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.