What the models are actually backing.
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Saturday, July 11 2026
Consensus
Our key selections. A pick only appears when multiple models that we use agree on the same top selection — the highest-performing signal we publish. We only bet if we can get the Target price (20% above our Fair price) or better. Early prices shown here are a guide only. We reconcile our results only on those selections where the bookmaker SP is above the target price. You should make your own assessment if these selections fit your betting profile and never bet what you aren't prepared to lose. Our models aren't perfect, don't expect our selections to be.$1 win · SP57 plays · 24 early market meets target
Target price = Fair +20%
| R | No. | Horse | Silk | Jockey (90d win%) | Fair | Target | odds@09:05 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:46 | Hawera(H8) | 2 | 1 | Ima Brazen One(1) | Toni Davies12.7% | $2.53 | $3.04 | $2.25 | Race → | |
| 11:25 | Newcastle(H8) | 1 | 3 | Lady Segosha(5) | Andrew Gibbons4% | $4.06 | $4.87 | $4.60 | Race → | |
| 11:39 | Ruakaka(S5) | 4 | 2 | Pellargo(11) | Michael Mc Nab18.6% | $3.81 | $4.57 | $3.20 | Race → | |
| 11:45 | Randwick(H9) | 2 | 1 | Moon Sweeper(5) | Jett Newman4.1% | $1.78 | $2.14 | $1.60 | Race → | |
| 12:00 | Hawera(H8) | 4 | 2 | Cheval De Foudre(3) | Chris Dell11% | $3.93 | $4.72 | $2.70 | Race → | |
| 12:00 | Newcastle(H8) | 2 | 8 | Wairarapa(4) | L P Beuzelin15.8% | $2.55 | $3.06 | $2.35 | Race → | |
| 12:09 | Rockhampton(S5) | 1 | 1 | Navy Kiss(3) | Ryan Wiggins16.4% | $2.83 | $3.40 | $2.60 | Race → | |
| 12:20 | Randwick(H9) | 3 | 3 | Perfect Justice(9) | Siena Grima10.3% | $2.75 | $3.30 | $3.40 | Race → | |
| 12:28 | Doomben(G4) | 2 | 8 | Dracena(7) | Anthony Allen4.8% | $4.02 | $4.82 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 12:40 | Newcastle(H8) | 3 | 4 | Misty Veil(2) | Jean Van Overmeire17.5% | $2.07 | $2.48 | $1.60 | Race → | |
| 12:42 | Hawera(H8) | 5 | 2 | Kereti(5) | Amber Riddell8.9% | $4.00 | $4.80 | $2.80 | Race → | |
| 12:44 | Rockhampton(S5) | 2 | 4 | Atomic Time(1) | Dylan Turner7.6% | $2.92 | $3.50 | $1.90 | Race → | |
| 12:47 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 2 | 5 | Power Dancer(3) | Andrew Stead9.5% | $2.88 | $3.46 | $6.00 | Race → | |
| 12:50 | Ruakaka(S5) | 6 | 3 | Delz Abeel(1) | Michael Mc Nab18.6% | $4.03 | $4.84 | $2.70 | Race → | |
| 12:51 | Donald(S7) | 1 | 6 | Tobeyeus(1) | Jason Webb0% | $5.36 | $6.43 | $23.00 | Race → | |
| 13:03 | Doomben(G4) | 3 | 11 | Chillaxing(6) | Daniel Moor6.6% | $4.41 | $5.29 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 13:06 | Cowra(S5) | 1 | 5 | Cascata Spritz(1) | Mathew Cahill7.8% | $2.09 | $2.51 | $2.90 | Race → | |
| 13:15 | Newcastle(H8) | 4 | 1 | Letters Patent(10) | Jeff Penza7.4% | $4.59 | $5.51 | $1.95 | Race → | |
| 13:22 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 3 | 3 | Extinguish(2) | Rose Hammond4.8% | $2.66 | $3.19 | $2.90 | Race → | |
| 13:26 | Donald(S7) | 2 | 4 | Play Bouzouki(9) | Shayleigh Ingelse4.7% | $2.59 | $3.11 | $7.50 | Race → | |
| 13:30 | Randwick(H9) | 5 | 5 | All Kinds Of Folk(5) | Kerrin Mc Evoy12.7% | $3.86 | $4.63 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 13:45 | Caulfield(S7) | 4 | 1 | Cavalry Girl(5) | Craig Williams14.2% | $3.95 | $4.74 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 13:49 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 1 | 1 | Anson Bay(4) | Richard Bensley6.7% | $2.56 | $3.07 | $2.40 | Race → | |
| 13:50 | Newcastle(H8) | 5 | 6 | I'm Relevant(4) | Keagan Latham16.4% | $3.90 | $4.68 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 13:54 | Rockhampton(S5) | 4 | 1 | King Of The Vibe(6) | Leslie Tilley8.8% | $3.99 | $4.79 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 13:57 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 4 | 2 | Mystic Wonder(5) | Jason Holder13.2% | $2.71 | $3.25 | $2.80 | Race → | |
| 14:00 | Ruakaka(S5) | 8 | 1 | Ashoka(11) | Sam McNab9.3% | $3.95 | $4.74 | $3.00 | Race → | |
| 14:13 | Doomben(G4) | 5 | 4 | Let'sfacethemusic(1) | Gary Geran19.3% | $3.09 | $3.71 | $3.10 | Race → | |
| 14:22 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 2 | 6 | Pafitis(6) | Jarrod Todd18.2% | $2.54 | $3.05 | $2.90 | Race → | |
| 14:32 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 5 | 4 | Pierroplane(3) | Kayla Crowther10.1% | $2.52 | $3.02 | $1.97 | Race → | |
| 14:44 | Gold Coast(G4) | 1 | 3 | Wrigley Field(3) | Brandon Lerena11% | $3.20 | $3.84 | $2.45 | Race → | |
| 14:48 | Belmont Park(S5) | 1 | 2 | Farnova(11) | Holly Watson10.8% | $3.76 | $4.51 | $6.50 | Race → | |
| 15:05 | Newcastle(H8) | 7 | 2 | Free And Fast(6) | Rory Hutchings9.7% | $4.60 | $5.52 | $3.80 | Race → | |
| 15:10 | Broome(G3) | 1 | 10 | Bondi Queen(1) | Jefferson Tsang11.7% | $2.79 | $3.35 | $2.30 | Race → | |
| 15:12 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 6 | 1 | Bardigrub(7) | Teagan Voorham6% | $2.92 | $3.50 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 15:16 | Donald(S7) | 5 | 3 | Tudaya(10) | Cian Macredmond7% | $3.94 | $4.73 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 15:24 | Gold Coast(G4) | 2 | 13 | Yattazou(13) | Jaden Lloyd15.7% | $3.81 | $4.57 | $3.30 | Race → | |
| 15:32 | Doomben(G4) | 7 | 1 | Larrikin Rogue(2) | Jai Williams8.3% | $2.85 | $3.42 | $3.60 | Race → | |
| 15:40 | Caulfield(S7) | 7 | 2 | Bustling(5) | Logan Bates7.9% | $4.52 | $5.42 | $10.00 | Race → | |
| 15:42 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 4 | 2 | Luna Field(7) | Stan Tsaikos6.6% | $3.97 | $4.76 | $3.80 | Race → | |
| 15:47 | Broome(G3) | 2 | 1 | Majestuoso Phoenix(4) | Jessica Gray10.4% | $2.96 | $3.55 | $3.10 | Race → | |
| 15:52 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 7 | 15 | Rikki Rikkardo(1) | Todd Pannell11.9% | $2.87 | $3.44 | $4.00 | Race → | |
| 16:02 | Gold Coast(G4) | 3 | 5 | Old Song(7) | Aidan Keeley5.7% | $2.90 | $3.48 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 16:04 | Belmont Park(S5) | 3 | 10 | Deep Lyric(4) | William Pike28.2% | $2.03 | $2.44 | $2.75 | Race → | |
| 16:11 | Cowra(S5) | 6 | 6 | Giovanna Star(10) | Jacob Stiff12.9% | $3.96 | $4.75 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 16:20 | Newcastle(H8) | 9 | 12 | Spiv(3) | Leeshelle Small4.4% | $3.95 | $4.74 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 16:24 | Rockhampton(S5) | 8 | 2 | Kai Mondo(9) | Nikki Olzard22.9% | $3.84 | $4.61 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 16:31 | Donald(S7) | 7 | 2 | Frederick(5) | Adam Mc Cabe6.4% | $4.40 | $5.28 | $5.50 | Race → | |
| 16:35 | Randwick(H9) | 10 | 3 | Aye Aye Captain(1) | Kerrin Mc Evoy12.7% | $4.65 | $5.58 | $4.20 | Race → | |
| 16:53 | Fannie Bay(G3) | 6 | 11 | Dakota Lee(11) | Dakota-Lee Gillett13.5% | $2.68 | $3.22 | $2.20 | Race → | |
| 17:02 | Morphettville Parks(S6) | 9 | 3 | Anotherhouse(1) | Brooke King8.3% | $2.97 | $3.56 | $4.60 | Race → | |
| 17:17 | Belmont Park(S5) | 5 | 8 | Amamus(3) | Brayden Gaerth7.1% | $4.90 | $5.88 | $13.00 | Race → | |
| 17:40 | Gold Coast(G4) | 6 | 9 | Exuberance(4) | Brandon Lerena11% | $2.95 | $3.54 | $3.30 | Race → | |
| 17:52 | Belmont Park(S5) | 6 | 9 | Zourun Run(1) | Steven Parnham7.5% | $4.51 | $5.41 | $3.90 | Race → | |
| 18:01 | Broome(G3) | 6 | 3 | Lucky Landing(4) | Kyra Yuill21.2% | $2.92 | $3.50 | $5.00 | Race → | |
| 18:18 | Gold Coast(G4) | 7 | 2 | American Conquest(4) | Karl Zechner10.4% | $2.94 | $3.53 | $4.80 | Race → | |
| 18:41 | Broome(G3) | 7 | 8 | Canggu(13) | Austin Galati10% | $4.92 | $5.90 | $9.00 | Race → |