HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WyongSaturday 4 July 2026

Wyong R5

14:20Congratulations Clare and Mathew (Bm64)
1350mBenchmark 64Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.75top 3
Ranked 1st
9. Crimson Wings
Lee Magorrian (2)
Ranked 2nd
5. Castagnola
Christian Reith (6)
Ranked 3rd
2. Koios
Mitch Stapleford (3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield13
settle 7–10
9 Crimson Wings(2)
2 Koios(3)
3 Rimbaud(4)
7 Alabama Blitz(5)
5 Castagnola(6)
20 Gong Girl(8)
22 Bonus Tempus(9)
21 Kahraba(10)
16 Wootten It Be Nice(14)
12 Broadway Follies(15)
4 Fabrice(16)
18 Sizzler(17)
1 Debello(18)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
19 Spiv(7)
15 Rockthevelio(11)
11 Prince Harrison(17)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
13 Lady Pankhurst(1)
14 Peschiera(12)
10 Real Baker(13)

Historical overview

Across the 44 sampled runnings of 1350m at Wyong: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 24 of 44 winners (54.5% of winners, 20.0% strike, 1.07 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 24 of 44 winners (54.5% of winners, 13.4% strike, 1.0 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1350m · True, 23 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 11 of 23 winners (47.8% of winners, 16.7% strike, 0.97 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 5 from 9 (55.6% strike, 0.87 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 6.8% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1350m · 44 races (44 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1641840.9%11%0.72
Middle (5–9)1792454.5%13.4%1.00
Wide (10+)4124.5%4.9%0.52

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1202454.5%20%1.07
On-pace (4–6)119818.2%6.7%0.46
Midfield (7–10)97818.2%8.2%1.07
Backmarkers (11+)1000%0%0.00
Unknown3849.1%10.5%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)9511.4%55.6%0.87
Pop ($2–5)972454.5%24.7%0.85
Mid ($5–10)831227.3%14.5%1.12
Roughie (>$10)19536.8%1.5%0.36