Cowra R2

13:41Lachlan River Produce Mdn Hcp
950mMaidenRail: True
Races123456

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Lachlan River Produce Mdn Hcpa 950m maiden at Cowra, jumping at 13:41 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Cowra has staged 4 races at 950m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 2 of 4 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Roughie (>$10) wins the most races here — 2 of 4 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.87).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 10 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 3 of the 4 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 2.42) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer D R Mirfin: 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #5 Lady Giovanna here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
950m · 4 races (4 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)16125%6.2%0.54
Middle (5–9)18250%11.1%1.25
Wide (10+)7125%14.3%0.85

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)9375%33.3%2.42
On-pace (4–6)900%0%0.00
Midfield (7–10)1100%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)200%0%0.00
Unknown10125%10%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)8125%12.5%0.46
Mid ($5–10)6125%16.7%1.18
Roughie (>$10)26250%7.7%1.87

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.