HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← QuirindiMonday 13 July 2026

Quirindi R4

14:40Mel Brown Catering Mdn Hcp
1200mMaidenRail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 12 July 18:17 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Mel Brown Catering Mdn Hcp — a 1200m maiden at Quirindi, jumping at 14:40 on — ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Quirindi has staged 10 races at 1200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 4 of 10 each (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.10 (5 from 40).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.97 (4 from 30).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.91 (5 from 19).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Mikayla Weir: 14 from 93 (15.1%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Almanzas here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)40550%12.5%1.10
Middle (5–9)45330%6.7%0.61
Wide (10+)22220%9.1%0.72

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)30440%13.3%0.86
On-pace (4–6)30440%13.3%0.97
Midfield (7–10)34220%5.9%0.66
Backmarkers (11+)1200%0%0.00
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3220%66.7%1.11
Pop ($2–5)19550%26.3%0.91
Mid ($5–10)18110%5.6%0.40
Roughie (>$10)67220%3%0.82

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.