Historical overview
Across the 45 sampled runnings of 1400m at Murray Bridge GH: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 17 of 45 winners (37.8% of winners, 12.6% strike, 1.16 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 22 of 45 winners (48.9% of winners, 10.5% strike, 0.95 A/E).
Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · +12m ±1m, 10 races): On-pace (settle 4–6) — 4 of 10 winners (40.0% of winners, 13.3% strike, 1.29 A/E).
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 4 (50.0% strike, 0.88 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 22.2% of winners.
Historical leans
- On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.