HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Murray Bridge GHTuesday 7 July 2026

Murray Bridge GH R6

15:45Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm56)
1400mBenchmark 56Rail: +12m
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm56) — a 1400m benchmark 56 at Murray Bridge GH, jumping at 15:45 on — ground, rail +12m. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Murray Bridge GH has staged 45 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 22 of 45 (48.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 17 of 45 (37.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.45 (4 from 117).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 19 of 45 (42.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+12m ±1m) covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.04 (6 from 50).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.29 (4 from 30).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.98 (4 from 30).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jason Holder: 9 from 59 (15.3%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 I Am Ralph here.
  • Trainer Travis Doudle: 16 from 85 (18.8%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — saddles #4 One Kind here.
  • Trainer P Huserot is 2 from 11 at today’s meeting profile (18.2% strike, A/E 4.40) and has #12 Last War here.
  • Jockey Stacey Metcalfe is 3 from 31 at today’s meeting profile (9.7% strike, A/E 3.08) and has #12 Last War here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1741431.1%8%0.81
Middle (5–9)2092248.9%10.5%0.95
Wide (10+)174920%5.2%0.62

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1351328.9%9.6%0.90
On-pace (4–6)1351737.8%12.6%1.16
Midfield (7–10)1691124.4%6.5%0.65
Backmarkers (11+)11748.9%3.4%0.45
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)424.4%50%0.88
Pop ($2–5)761431.1%18.4%0.69
Mid ($5–10)1401942.2%13.6%1.01
Roughie (>$10)3371022.2%3%0.75