Emerald

Soft 5Rail: True Entire Course—13:03–16:43

Meeting overview

Emerald in QLD hosts a country meeting on Soft 5. The rail is True Entire Course. There are 7 races scheduled from 13:03 to 16:43.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,630m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 2 benchmark races, 1 restricted race, and 3 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Farm & Construction Products & Goldacres Hcp.

What history says

Over 34 races from 2025-09-23 to 2026-05-16, barrier draw flags wide (10+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Jockey Emma Bell has 3 runners and a 22.2% local strike rate from 18 runs (2.32 A/E) off a small winning sample and Jockey Tom Orr has 5 runners and a 20.0% local strike rate from 15 runs (2.28 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Emerald

34 races · 267 runners · since 2025-09-23

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JEmma Bell3 todayA/E 2.32JTom Orr5 todayA/E 2.28JNikki Olzard5 todayA/E 1.73JRaul Silvera Olivera4 todayA/E 1.24

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	136	21	61.8%	15.4%	0.84
Middle (5–9)	116	13	38.2%	11.2%	0.90
Wide (10+)	15	0	0%	0%	0.00

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	96	19	55.9%	19.8%	1.02
On-pace (4–6)	86	9	26.5%	10.5%	0.72
Midfield (7–10)	57	4	11.8%	7%	0.57
Backmarkers (11+)	5	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	23	2	5.9%	8.7%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	7	5	14.7%	71.4%	1.12
Pop ($2–5)	69	14	41.2%	20.3%	0.67
Mid ($5–10)	74	13	38.2%	17.6%	1.28
Roughie (>$10)	117	2	5.9%	1.7%	0.39

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.