HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← GoulburnFriday 3 July 2026

Goulburn R3

13:45Douglass Blinds & Security Screens Mdn Hcp
1100mMaidenRail: +9mEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.08top 3
Ranked 1st
10. Essay
(4)
Ranked 2nd
7. The Diplomat
Alysha Collett (4)
Ranked 3rd
2. Radicals
Leeshelle Small (8)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
6 Renowned(5)
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
10 Essay(4)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
11 Prankaj(3)
4 Cool Aza Breeze(7)
3 Nuns Chorus(10)
12 Supa Zenardini(11)
13 Designed Spindle(12)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
8 Mariana Miss(6)
2 Radicals(8)
9 Speed Of Thought(9)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
5 Foray(1)
1 Bellagio Beach(2)
7 The Diplomat(4)

Historical overview

Across the 37 sampled runnings of 1100m at Goulburn: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 16 of 37 winners (43.2% of winners, 16.2% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 20 of 37 winners (54.1% of winners, 14.7% strike, 0.97 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 6 from 10 (60.0% strike, 1.01 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 8.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 37 races (37 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1401437.8%10%0.68
Middle (5–9)1362054.1%14.7%0.97
Wide (10+)1838.1%16.7%1.01

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)991643.2%16.2%0.82
On-pace (4–6)961335.1%13.5%0.91
Midfield (7–10)60410.8%6.7%0.68
Unknown39410.8%10.3%0.86

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)10616.2%60%1.01
Pop ($2–5)832054.1%24.1%0.83
Mid ($5–10)69821.6%11.6%0.89
Roughie (>$10)13238.1%2.3%0.57