Goulburn R4

14:20Homebase Real Estate (Bm58)

1100mBenchmark 58Rail: +9mEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.51top 3

Ranked 1st

8. Tennessee Dolly

Keagan Latham (11)

Ranked 2nd

3. Casino Shaw

Amy Mc Lucas (3)

Ranked 3rd

2. Gem Tycoon

Alysha Collett (7)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers2

settle 11+

8Tennessee Dolly(11)

12Sneaky Rich(14)

Midfield6

settle 7–10

13Hell Of A Show(2)

7Excuseme Mrofficer(6)

14Vainstream(8)

10Toyz In Zouland(9)

6Curly Bend(10)

5Dancer's Delight(13)

On-pace3

settle 3–6

11Jukebox Flyer(4)

2Gem Tycoon(7)

4The Eyes Have It(12)

Leaders3

pushing for the lead

1La Mer Bleue(1)

3Casino Shaw(3)

9Needawinna(5)

Historical overview

Across the 37 sampled runnings of 1100m at Goulburn: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 16 of 37 winners (43.2% of winners, 16.2% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 20 of 37 winners (54.1% of winners, 14.7% strike, 0.97 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 6 from 10 (60.0% strike, 1.01 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 8.1% of winners.

Historical leans

Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

1100m · 37 races (37 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	140	14	37.8%	10%	0.68
Middle (5–9)	136	20	54.1%	14.7%	0.97
Wide (10+)	18	3	8.1%	16.7%	1.01

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	99	16	43.2%	16.2%	0.82
On-pace (4–6)	96	13	35.1%	13.5%	0.91
Midfield (7–10)	60	4	10.8%	6.7%	0.68
Unknown	39	4	10.8%	10.3%	0.86

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	10	6	16.2%	60%	1.01
Pop ($2–5)	83	20	54.1%	24.1%	0.83
Mid ($5–10)	69	8	21.6%	11.6%	0.89
Roughie (>$10)	132	3	8.1%	2.3%	0.57